Multi-indicator sensitivity analysis of climate change effects on landscapes in the Kiskunság National Park, Hungary

Ladányi, Zs.; Blanka, Viktória; Meyer, Burghard C.; Mezősi, Gábor; Rakonczai, János

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.05.024

Cited by 32 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…The particular site selected for this study is in Kiskunság (central Hungary, Carpathian Basin, Pannon Ecoregion), where global warming has especially intensive consequences: the original temperate climate is gradually transforming into semi-arid type and the depletion of the groundwater table is faster than in other regions of the Carpathian Basin and these trends con-tinued during the period of present study (Rakonczai 2011, Rakonczai and Ladányi 2012, Rakonczai and Fehér 2015, Ladányi et al 2015. Therefore, it is a suitable location for studying the ecological effects of climate change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Environmental conditions of the given year were only considered by the single variable ground water level, since values of the other variables were largely influenced by weather conditions occurring after the spring observations. Environmental data were obtained from Rakonczai 2011, Rakonczai and Ladányi 2012, Ladányi et al 2015 and the Hungarian Meteorological Agency (www.met.hu, for te and rf).…”

Section: Environmental Predictorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change impoverishes and homogenizes ants’ community structure: a long term study

Gallé

2017

Community Ecology

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Climate change brings along trend-like changes as well as changes in the temporal variations in environmental conditions which interact with the biological dynamics of ecological systems. Therefore, only studies covering several decades may unveil long term trends in ecological systems, such as in animal communities. To demonstrate if recent climatic changes have caused fundamental changes in the structure of a key arthropod community, I studied the long-term dynamics of ant colonies for 37 years on a sandy grassland in central Hungary. To be able to monitor colonies -the natural units of ant communities -with the possible least disturbance, I applied two grids of a total of 80 slate plates as artificial nesting sites. Prior to the presented study, a well-defined spatial ant community structure had been identified in the studied habitat, which consisted of three species groups (dune top, transitional and dune slack groups), occupying different habitat patches. During the study period 2813 nests of 11 ant species were recorded under the slates. Over the 37 years, community pattern markedly changed, dune slack species disappeared from the studied plots, while the frequency of drought-tolerant dune top species increased by a significant trend. No significant trend was observed in the case of the transitional species group. On the species population level, two species, Lasius niger and Formica cunicularia, showed an intensive population decline; while the Plagiolepis taurica population significantly increased and spatially joined the transitional species group in the dune slack in the second half of the project. These changes led to a major decline in species richness and a homogenization of species composition across habitat patches. Multiple correlation analyses revealed that the depletion of groundwater had the strongest relationship with these population trends. The study indicates that climate change can be linked to a fundamental change in the community structure of major ecosystem actors.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Environmental Predictorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impoverishes and homogenizes ants’ community structure: a long term study

Gallé

2017

Community Ecology

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“…Güçlü, Subyani, and Şen (2017) carried out the evapotranspiration applying a regional fuzzy chain model in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Using the REMO and ALADIN regional climate model simulations, Ladányi et al (2015) evaluated the future drought hazard in the Kiskunság National Park from Hungary.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Vulnerability of groundwater resources under climate change in the Pannonian basin

Nistor

2019

Geo-spatial Information Science

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The impact of climate change on groundwater vulnerability has been assessed in the Pannonian basin over 1961-2070. High-resolution climate models, aquifers composition, land cover, and digital elevation model were the main factors which served to perform the spatial analysis using Geographical Information Systems. The analysis reported here is focused on the long-term period, including three temporal time sets: the past period of 1961-1990 (1990s), the present period of 2011-2040 (2020s), and the future period of 2041-2070 (2050s). During the 1990s, the high and very high areas of groundwater vulnerability were identified in all the central, western, eastern, southeastern, and northern sides of the Pannonian basin. In these areas, the water availability is lower and the pollution load index is high, due to the agricultural activities. The low and very low vulnerability class was depicted in the SouthWest part of the basin and in few locations from the peripheral areas, mainly in the North and West. The medium groundwater vulnerability spreads over the Pannonian basin, but it is more concentrated in the central, South, and SouthWest. The most affected territory is Hungary, while the territories of Slovenia, Croatia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina are less affected. In the present and future periods, the very high groundwater vulnerability increased in areas by 0.74% and 0.87%, respectively. The low class area decreased between the 1990s and the 2020s by 2.33% and it is expected to decrease up to 2.97% in the 2050s. Based on this analysis and the groundwater vulnerability maps, the Pannonian basin appears more vulnerable to climate change in the present and future. These findings demonstrate that the aquifers from Pannonian basin experience high negative effect under climate conditions. In addition, the land cover contributes to this negative status of groundwater resources. The original maps of groundwater vulnerability represent an instrument for water management planning and for research.

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“…different satellites provide images different purposes (Berke et al 2013;Deák et al 2013). A MODIS image with its 250-1000 m geometrical resolution is appropriate for regional analyses and especially the NDVI composites are popular solutions for biomass monitoring (Ladányi et al 2015). For local scale, at least 20-30 m geometric resolution is needed but there are very high resolution (HRV) images (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Specific features of NDVI, NDWI and MNDWI as reflected in land cover categories

Szabó¹,

Gácsi²,

Balázs³

2016

Landsc. environ.

115

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The remote sensing techniques provide a great possibility to analyze the environmental processes in local or global scale. Landsat images with their 30 m resolution are suitable among others for land cover mapping and change monitoring. In this study three spectral indices (NDVI, NDWI, MNDWI) were investigated from the aspect of land cover types: water body (W); plough land (PL); forest (F); vineyard (V); grassland (GL) and built-up areas (BU) using Landsat-7 ETM+ data. The range, the dissimilarities and the correlation of spectral indices were examined. In BU -GL -F categories similar NDVI values were calculated, but the other land cover types differed significantly. The water related indices (NDWI, MNDWI) were more effective (especially the MNDWI) to enhance water features, but the values of other categories ranged from narrower interval. Weak correlation were found among the indices due to the differences caused by the water land cover class. Statistically, most land cover types differed from each other, but in several cases similarities can be found when delineating vegetation with various water content. MNDWI was found as the most effective in highlighting water bodies.

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Multi-indicator sensitivity analysis of climate change effects on landscapes in the Kiskunság National Park, Hungary

Cited by 32 publications

References 36 publications

Climate change impoverishes and homogenizes ants’ community structure: a long term study

Climate change impoverishes and homogenizes ants’ community structure: a long term study

Vulnerability of groundwater resources under climate change in the Pannonian basin

Specific features of NDVI, NDWI and MNDWI as reflected in land cover categories

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