We need to solve a multi-period optimization problem to decide dynamic investment policies under various practical constraints. Hibiki ( ,2003Hibiki ( ,2006) develop a hybrid model where conditional decisions can be made in a simulation approach, and investment proportions are expressed by a step function of the amount of wealth. In this paper, we introduce an idea of a state-dependent function into the hybrid model as well as Takaya and Hibiki (2012). At first, we define the state-dependent function form for a multiple asset allocation problem with CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk) using the hybrid model, and we clarify that the function form is V-shaped and kinked at the VaR point. We propose a piecewise linear model with the V-shaped function to solve the multi-period and state-dependent asset allocation problem. We solve a three-period problem for five assets, and compare the piecewise linear model with the hybrid model. We conduct the sensitivity analysis for different risk averse coefficients and autocorrelations to examine the characteristics of the model. Keywords: finance, stochastic optimization, multi-period asset allocation, simulation
IntroductionInstitutional investors need to manage their investment funds in consideration of rebalancing assets during a planning period for efficient asset management. Individual investors who face their long-term financial planning have similar problems. A multi-period optimization model involving dynamic investment decisions explicitly can be used to solve the problem with several constraints in practice. There are many studies in the literatures of different academic fields. In the fields of mathematical finance and financial economics, analytical solutions or approximate solutions are derived employing the HJB equation or the Martingale method under the setting of a continuous time and a continuous distribution. Cvitanić and Karatzas [3] derive a closed form solution of minimizing the first-order lower partial moment (LPM).2 Recently, several Monte Carlo methods have been developed for the computation of optimal portfolio policies (Detemple, Garcia and Rindisbacher [4]). But the number of assets is limited to solve the problem in general, and it is also difficult to derive the optimal solutions for the model with practical constraints. In the fields of financial engineering, the numerical solutions are derived employing mathematical programming under the setting of a discrete time and a discrete distribution in order to solve the multiple assets problem with practical constraints. Hibiki [5] develops a simulated path model to solve the multi-period portfolio optimization problem. A return distribution is described using simulated paths