Multicriteria methods for technology foresight

Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Tommi; Ramanathan, Ramakrishnan

doi:10.1002/for.850

Cited by 73 publications

(50 citation statements)

References 63 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Different answers will be ready for each time and situation. Salo et al (2003) presented new perspective in technology foresight about R&D projects' evaluation. MADM methods applied to this process and MADM has considered as a core for projects' evaluation.…”

Section: Latest Contributions Related To the Madm And Future Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although the research didn't consider future but had something new as a contribution to the literature. Ondrus et al (2015) developed based on Salo et al (2003) study. This research applied computer calculations and visualization to the previous structure in project selection as a part of technology foresight process.…”

Section: Latest Contributions Related To the Madm And Future Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Madm and Futures Studies; A Necessity

Zolfani

Maknoon

Zavadskas

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. Multiple Attribute Decision Making (MADM) has been developing in different methods, perspectives and frameworks since introducing step. Futures Studies as a specialized framework and methodology has introduced newer and has been always in developing phase too. MADM as a part of Multiple Criteria Decision Making is known as multi-disciplinary approach, framework and methodology. Nowadays, Futures Studies is also known as multi-disciplinary approach too. Basically, MADM is structured for a stable environment while most decisions need to be made, dynamically. Time is so much important especially in the new century in comparison with the past. Decisions making about future are usually so complicated and MADM can be helpful in that process. Importance of making future based decisions is undeniable in trying to answer to decision needs. This research will present a comprehensive review on the literature of MADM and new orientations in considering future in MADM models and necessity of them will be checked also carefully. Eventually, importance of seeing both MADM and Futures Studies together as a unit model will be discussed in this study.

show abstract

Section: Latest Contributions Related To the Madm And Future Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Latest Contributions Related To the Madm And Future Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Madm and Futures Studies; A Necessity

Zolfani

Maknoon

Zavadskas

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…MCDA has been proposed previously for analyzing such emerging technologies and their implications (23,24). However, it has been pointed out that multicriteria models are usually static in their temporal structure, making it difficult to address issues that pertain to different or varying time horizons (23).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Charting a Path for Innovative Toilet Technology Using Multicriteria Decision Analysis

Borsuk

Maurer

Lienert

et al. 2008

Environ. Sci. Technol.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Practical and theoretically sound methods for analyzing innovative environmental technologies are needed to inform public and private decisions regarding research and development, risk management, and stakeholder communication. By integrating scientific assessments with a characterization of values, multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) supports the ranking of alternative technology pathways on the basis of technical, financial, and social concerns. We applied MCDA to evaluate the use of NoMix urine separating toilets for managing environmental risk and postponing expensive upgrades to a large wastewater treatment plant near Zürich, Switzerland. Results indicate that, given current priorities, no single, fixed course of action (including the status quo) will be desirable to all stakeholders over the considered time horizon. However, a path forward is suggested that is not significantly disadvantageous to any stakeholder now and leaves open future options, allowing society to achieve overall greater benefits if priorities change, new environmental risks are revealed, or technology improves. While our analysis focuses on a particular catchment in Switzerland, many communities worldwide are faced with an aging and inefficient wastewater treatment infrastructure while also experiencing growth and development. Our framework can help these communities balance the conflicting objectives of diverse stakeholders and gain insight into the role that urine separation can play in transitioning to a more comprehensive and sustainable urban water management system.

show abstract

“…Основное преимущество подобных инструмен-тов -создание системы регулярного анализа будущих возможностей и ее использование в оценке потенци-альных исследовательских проектов, что обеспечива-ет открытость и последовательность формирования и реализации стратегии [Salo et al, 2003]. В литературе представлен ряд примеров применения многокритери-альных методов оценки для определения приоритетов научно-технологической политики; среди них: «анали-тический иерархический процесс» (Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP) [Saaty, 1980;Poh et al, 2001], «включе-ние рядов в иерархии критериев» (Rank Inclusion in Criteria Hierarchies, RICH) [Salo, Punkka, 2005;Salo, Liesiö, 2006] и робастное портфельное моделирование (Robust Portfolio Modeling, RPM) [Liesiö et al, 2007Бруммер и др., 2010а, 2010б].…”

unclassified