Objective
Heart rate variability (HRV), a noninvasive technique used to quantify fluctuations in the interval between normal heartbeats, is a predictor of mortality in some patient groups. The aim of our study was to assess HRV in burn trauma patients as a predictor of mortality.
Methods
We prospectively performed 24 hour Holter monitoring on burn patients and collected demographic information, burn injury details, and in-hospital clinical events. Analysis of HRV in the time and frequency domains was performed.
Results
A total of 40 burn patients with a mean age of 44 ± 15 years were enrolled. Mean % total body surface area burn was 27 ± 22% for the overall population and was significantly higher in those who died compared to those who survived (55 ± 23% vs. 19 ± 13%, p<0.0001). There was a statistically significant inverse linear correlation between standard deviation of NN intervals (SDANN) and % total body surface area (-r 0.337, R2=0.113, 95% CI −0.587 to −0.028, 2-tailed p=0.034), as well as with ultra low frequency (ULF) power and % total body surface area burn (−r 0.351, R2= 0.123, 95% CI −0.152 to −0.009, p=0.027). The receiver-operator characteristic showed the area under the curve for % total body surface area as a predictor of death was 0.82 (p<0.001), for SDANN was 0.94 (p<0.0001), and for ULF power was 0.96 (p<0.0001).
Conclusions
Deranged HRV in the early post-burn period is a strong predictor of death.