It is becoming increasingly clear that brain network organization shapes the course and expression of neurodegenerative diseases. Parkinson's disease (PD) is marked by progressive spread of atrophy from the midbrain to subcortical structures and eventually, to the cerebral cortex. Recent discoveries suggest that the neurodegenerative process involves the misfolding and prion-like propagation of endogenous α-synuclein via axonal projections. However, the mechanisms that translate local "synucleinopathy" to large-scale network dysfunction and atrophy remain unknown. Here we use an agent-based epidemic spreading model to integrate structural connectivity, functional connectivity and gene expression, and to predict sequential volume loss due to neurodegeneration. The dynamic model replicates the spatial and temporal patterning of empirical atrophy in PD and implicates the substantia nigra as the disease epicenter. We reveal a significant role for both connectome topology and geometry in shaping the distribution of atrophy. The model also demonstrates that SNCA and GBA transcription influence α-synuclein concentration and local regional vulnerability. Functional co-activation further amplifies the course set by connectome architecture and gene expression. Altogether, these results support the theory that the progression of PD is a multifactorial process that depends on both cell-to-cell spreading of misfolded proteins and regional vulnerability.Neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's Disease (AD), Parkinson's Disease (PD), 2 and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, are a major cause of psychosocial burden and 3 mortality, but lack specific therapy. Until recently, the mechanism of progressive 4 neuronal death in these conditions was unknown. However, converging lines of evidence 5 from molecular, animal and human postmortem studies point to misfolded neurotoxic 6 proteins that propagate through the central nervous system via neuronal 7 connections [1-6]. These pathogenic misfolded disease-specific proteins function as 8 corruptive templates that induce their normal protein counterparts to adopt a similar 9 conformational alteration, analogous to the self-replication process in prion diseases.
10Examples include amyloid β-protein (Aβ) and tau in AD and α-synuclein in PD. The 11 November 1, 2019 1/26 misfolded proteins can deposit into insoluble aggregates and progressively spread to 12 interconnected neuronal populations through synaptic connections. The model of a 13propagating proteinopathy remains controversial however [7], and direct evidence in 14 humans remains mostly circumstantial [8].
15The prion hypothesis suggests that propagation dynamics in neurodegenerative 16 diseases may be modeled using methods derived from infectious disease epidemiology.
17Just as infectious diseases spread via social contact networks, misfolded proteins 18 propagate via the brain's connectome. There are different approaches for modeling 19 epidemic spread over a network. In simple diffusion models, disease in any region is 20 model...