2005
DOI: 10.1007/s11222-005-4069-4
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Multivariate Poisson regression with covariance structure

Abstract: In recent years the applications of multivariate Poisson models have increased, mainly because of the gradual increase in computer performance. The multivariate Poisson model used in practice is based on a common covariance term for all the pairs of variables. This is rather restrictive and does not allow for modelling the covariance structure of the data in a flexible way. In this paper we propose inference for a multivariate Poisson model with larger structure, i.e. different covariance for each pair of vari… Show more

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Cited by 125 publications
(89 citation statements)
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“…We model the trends in the counts using transitional Poisson regression model and assume that if the counts are incontrol then the one day ahead forecast errors are uncorrelated. In situations where spatial correlation persists in the forecast errors for in-control situations, an alternative approach is models which account for this spatial correlation, such as seeming unrelated Poisson regression models (King, 1989, andGrijalva, T., Bohara, et al 2003), and multivariate Poisson regression model Meligkotsidou, 2005, andBermudez andKarlis, 2011). However, here we model each of the 1600 cells separately using Poisson regression models very similar to that used in Sparks et al (2010a) and Sparks et al (2011a) that use explanatory variables: logarithm of lag counts plus 1, day-of-the-week, public holidays and harmonics.…”
Section: Simulation Studymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We model the trends in the counts using transitional Poisson regression model and assume that if the counts are incontrol then the one day ahead forecast errors are uncorrelated. In situations where spatial correlation persists in the forecast errors for in-control situations, an alternative approach is models which account for this spatial correlation, such as seeming unrelated Poisson regression models (King, 1989, andGrijalva, T., Bohara, et al 2003), and multivariate Poisson regression model Meligkotsidou, 2005, andBermudez andKarlis, 2011). However, here we model each of the 1600 cells separately using Poisson regression models very similar to that used in Sparks et al (2010a) and Sparks et al (2011a) that use explanatory variables: logarithm of lag counts plus 1, day-of-the-week, public holidays and harmonics.…”
Section: Simulation Studymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The unknown parameters are estimated by an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm [4]. The EM algorithm is used for finding maximum likelihood estimates of probabilistic model parameters where the underlying data are unobservable.…”
Section: The Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…4 Goodness of Fit is the scaled deviance. It is a chi-square divided by the degrees of freedom and with an expected value of one.…”
Section: The Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Boucher et al, 2007 andBermúdez, 2009). The first one, which we call the "common covariance model", has been defined in Tsionas (2001) and the second one, the "full covariance model", in Karlis and Meligkotsidou (2005). In addition, here we extend these models with their zero-inflated variants.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%