New labour landslide ‐ same old electoral geography?

Johnston, Ron; Pattie, Charles; Dorling, Danny; Rossiter, David; Tunstall, Helena; MacAllister, Iain

doi:10.1080/13689889808413004

Cited by 15 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…Previous studies using aggregate data have partially confirmed the existence of anti-government tactical voting as hypothesized in Table 1 (see Johnston et al, 1998a). Here I compare these hypotheses with data on changes in vote shares between 1992 and 1997 in different types of seat ( Table 2).…”

Section: Evidence On Anti-government Tactical Voting From Aggregate Datasupporting

confidence: 65%

Theorizing anti‐government tactical voting: Some evidence from the 1987, 1992 and 1997 British general elections

Huang

2001

British Elections & Parties Review

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Section: Evidence On Anti-government Tactical Voting From Aggregate Datasupporting

confidence: 65%

Theorizing anti‐government tactical voting: Some evidence from the 1987, 1992 and 1997 British general elections

Huang

2001

British Elections & Parties Review

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“…When compared against the Liberal Democrats, both the main parties seemed to benefit from local activism, particularly the Conservatives. In sum, then, local Liberal Democrat place‐based campaigns paid dividends in 2001 just as they did four years earlier (Johnston et al. 1998, 50–55).…”

Section: Stage 2: Explaining Liberal Democrat Support In 2001mentioning

confidence: 92%

Did Local Activism Really Matter? Liberal Democrat Campaigning and the 2001 British General Election

Cutts¹,

Shryane²

2006

The British Journal of Politics and International Relations

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The importance of campaigning at British general elections seems to vary across the country's three main political parties, although it is of particular salience for the Liberal Democrats. Existing research suggests that the Liberal Democrats use the combination of local success and grass-roots activism as a stepping stone to achieve the prize aim of parliamentary representation. It could be argued that local factors are likely to account for more of the spatial variation in votes for the Liberal Democrats than is the case for the main parties. Using Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) to model the parties' relative vote shares, we find that intensive campaigning, not only what is spent but also the role of the local MP as a representative, particularly where there were first-time incumbents, was a significant influence on the Liberal Democrat vote in 2001 when compared against the Conservatives and Labour.

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“…At both the 1992 and the 1997 General Elections, the regional divide narrowed again (at least so far as the Labour vote was concerned: Curtice and Steed 1997;Pattie et al . 1994;Johnston et al . 1998).…”

Section: Contextual Effects In British Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

‘People Who Talk Together Vote Together’: An Exploration of Contextual Effects in Great Britain

Pattie

Johnston

2000

Annals of the Association of American Geographers

185

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Many students of British voting patterns have tested for the existence of contextual effects, which postulate that voters are influenced by events and people in their local milieux. One of those contextual effects is the neighborhood effect, whereby individuals are influenced by the nature of the politically relevant information circulating within their social networks, many of which are spatially constrained to their local area. Although ecological analyses have identified patterns consistent with this hypothesis, there have been virtually no direct investigations of the effect, largely because of the absence of relevant data. Using information from a large, clustered survey of voters at the time of the 1992 general election, this paper uncovers clear evidence of such effects: people are much more likely to change their votes in a particular direction if those with whom they discuss political issues support that direction, especially if they are members of the respondent's family and are the individuals with whom they discuss politics most. Key Words: voting, neighborhood effect, Great Britain.

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New labour landslide ‐ same old electoral geography?

Cited by 15 publications

References 19 publications

Theorizing anti‐government tactical voting: Some evidence from the 1987, 1992 and 1997 British general elections

Theorizing anti‐government tactical voting: Some evidence from the 1987, 1992 and 1997 British general elections

Did Local Activism Really Matter? Liberal Democrat Campaigning and the 2001 British General Election

‘People Who Talk Together Vote Together’: An Exploration of Contextual Effects in Great Britain

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