[1] A controlled volume box model of the western basins of the Nordic Seas for water denser than 1027.8 kg m À3 is constructed, where accumulation in volume ( dV dt ) is driven by net imbalances between prescribed net inflow from the northern, eastern and top boundaries (Q s ) and hydraulically limited outflow through the Denmark Strait. The resulting Riccati equation is solved analytically for filling and flushing experiments with constant Q s and numerically for stochastic forcing Q s (t). For small perturbations to Q s with white noise spectrum, the overflow response is red noise with a time scale between 5 and 15 years depending on the mean interface height and area. For