Chemical defoliation is an essential agricultural practice in cotton production for mechanic harvesting. Thidiazuron (TDZ) is the active ingredient of the chemical defoliant used on cotton. So far, few studies havefocused on the method of identifying the sensitivity of cotton cultivars to TDZ. Therefore, a greenhouse soil culture experiment was performed by using two widely cultivatedupland cotton cultivars CRI 49 and CRI 12 treated with seven different concentrations (0, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, and 1000 mg L−1) of TDZ at the seedling stage to establish a screening system. Principal component analysis and the membership function value (MFV) method was used to analyze the physiological and phenotypic characters, including abscission rate, amino acids content, net photosynthetic rate (Pn), etc. Finally, we developed a mathematical evaluation model, selected 100 mg L−1 TDZ as the optimal concentration and identified reliable characters net photosynthetic rate (Pn), stomatal conductance (Gs), and transpiration rate (Tr) to evaluate cotton leaf abscission sensitivity. These results also confirmed that CRI 12 was more sensitive to TDZ than CRI 49. This is the first time using a mathematical evaluation method to evaluate the cotton leaf abscission sensitivity triggered by TDZ at the seedling stage and the results were also confirmed in the field experiment. Furthermore, it will be valuable that MFV method is applied to stress sensitivity evaluation in other crop species under stress environment.