Objective: to determine the independent predictors of in-hospital death of Hispanic patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGB).Experimental design: prospective and observational trial. Patients: in a period between 2000 and 2009, all patients with NVUGB admitted to our hospital were studied. Demographical and clinical characteristics, endoscopic findings and laboratory tests were evaluated. χ² and Mann-Whitney U analyses were performed for comparisons, and binary logistic regression was employed to identify independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.Results: 1,067 patients were included, 65% male with a mean age of 58.8 years. Mean number of comorbidities per patient was 1.6 ± 0.76. The most frequent cause of bleeding were gastric and duodenal ulcers (55.4%); 278 patients (25.8%) received endoscopic treatment of which 69.1% had combined therapy. Rebleeding occurred in 36 patients (3.4%) of which 50% died. Inhospital mortality was 10.2%, of which only 3.1% was associated to bleeding. When comparing causes of death among patients with and without comorbidities, only hypovolemic shock was found significative (48.3 vs. 25%; p = 0.020). Binary logistic regression found that the number of comorbidities, Rockall scale serum albumin < 2.6 g/dL on admission; rebleeding and length of hospital stay were independent risk factors of in-hospital mortality.Conclusion: the number of comorbidities, the Rockall scale score, an albumin level < 2.6 g/dL, the presence of rebleeding and hospital stay were predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with UNVGB.
INTRODUCTIONNon-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGB) is a critical condition in which a mortality of 5 to 10% has been reported in different series of patients. This variability may be explained in part by the different clinical and demographic characteristics of the studied population (1,2). Recent prospective studies have identified different predictors of mortality; it is worth noting that the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) significantly reduces mortality in patients both with and without high risk stigmata of rebleeding. Moreover, the use of endoscopic treatment has been demonstrated to reduce mortality in greater proportion than drug treatment (3-6). However, it has been shown that the risk factors, complications and mortality rates described in controlled trials are lower than those reported in patients who received their attention on "day-today conditions" in a tertiary care community hospital (7), which illustrates more accurately the actual conditions of medical care.The main objective of our study is to describe the clinical characteristics, endoscopic findings, and treatment used, as well as risk factors of complications and in-hospital mortality in Hispanic patients with NVUGB on "day-to-day conditions".
Predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleedingJosé Alberto González-González, Genaro Vázquez-Elizondo, Diego García-Compeán, Juan Obed Gaytán-Torres, Ángel Ricardo ...