“…Methods for inductive reasoning have been developed in the areas of logic and expert systems (Groarke, ), inferential statistics (both frequentist and Bayesian philosophies of probability) (Box & Tiao, ; DeGroot, ; Fisher, ; Jaynes, ; Neyman, ; Reid & Cox, ), fuzzy inference (Cherkassky, ; Mamdani & Assilian, ; Sugeno, ), and nonmonotonic logics (in contrast to traditional logic and expert systems) (Donini, Lenzerini, Nardi, Pirri, & Schaerf, ; Ginsberg, ). Given our focus on the prediction problem within inductive inference, we address only methods that produce probabilities, including: a subset of frequentist‐oriented statistical inference methods (e.g., logistic regression), Bayesian inference that produces probabilities (e.g., Bayes rule), and a range of machine‐learning methods that are undeclared in the frequentist‐Bayesian debates but are routinely trained to produce probabilities as outputs (e.g., random forests and neural networks).…”