2013
DOI: 10.1002/for.2280
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Nonparametric Quantile Regression‐Based Classifiers for Bankruptcy Forecasting

Abstract: An improved classification device for bankruptcy forecasting is proposed. The proposed approach relies on mainstream classifiers whose inputs are obtained from a so‐called multinorm analysis, instead of traditional indicators such as the ROA ratio and other accounting ratios. A battery of industry norms (computed by using nonparametric quantile regressions) is obtained, and the deviations of each firm from this multinorm system are used as inputs for the classifiers. The approach is applied to predict bankrupt… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(4 citation statements)
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References 54 publications
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“…;Min and Lee 2005; Wang et al 2005;Zhou and Tian 2007;Altman and Sabato 2007;Mori and Umezawa 2007;Angelini et al 2008;Vasiliauskaite and Cvilikas 2008;Zhang and Härdle 2010;Chen and Du 2009;Lin 2009;Min and Jeong 2009;Ryser and Denzler 2009; Bužius et al 2010;Tseng and Hu 2010; Dan ėnas et al 2011;De Andrés et al 2011c;Pacelli and Azzollini 2011;Mileris 2012;Olson et al 2012;Wu and Hsu 2012;Gurný and Gurný 2013;Lorca et al 2014). As a result, our research group…”
mentioning
confidence: 64%
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“…;Min and Lee 2005; Wang et al 2005;Zhou and Tian 2007;Altman and Sabato 2007;Mori and Umezawa 2007;Angelini et al 2008;Vasiliauskaite and Cvilikas 2008;Zhang and Härdle 2010;Chen and Du 2009;Lin 2009;Min and Jeong 2009;Ryser and Denzler 2009; Bužius et al 2010;Tseng and Hu 2010; Dan ėnas et al 2011;De Andrés et al 2011c;Pacelli and Azzollini 2011;Mileris 2012;Olson et al 2012;Wu and Hsu 2012;Gurný and Gurný 2013;Lorca et al 2014). As a result, our research group…”
mentioning
confidence: 64%
“…In analysing the selection of independent variables for enterprise-bankruptcy prediction and credit-risk-assessment models, researchers typically include financial ratios as explanatory variables (Špicas et al 2018;Veganzones and Severin 2021), "with the assumption that these ratios contain all relevant information for predicting corporate failure" (Veganzones and Severin 2021). The most commonly used financial variables for analysis are the relative financial ratios calculated from enterprises' financial statements (the first models included those by Beaver 1966;Altman 1968;Chesser 1974;Ohlson 1980;Zmijewski 1984;Frydman et al 1985 andZavgren 1985; current models include those by Bužius et al 2010;Tseng and Hu 2010;Dan ėnas et al 2011;De Andrés et al 2011c;Pacelli and Azzollini 2011;Mileris 2012;Olson et al 2012;Wu and Hsu 2012;Gurný and Gurný 2013;Lorca et al 2014). However, several researchers (e.g., Argenti (1976) (as cited by Veganzones and Severin 2021)) doubt the ability of the model to "predict failure with evidence from only financial ratios."…”
Section: Increasing the Accuracy And Interpretability Of Bankruptcy-p...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nevertheless, financial ratios should be transformed in a way that does not cause any methodological problems (Kane and Meade, 1998). In particular, the working capital to total assets ratio is considered as highly effective across derivative variables (Lorca et al , 2014). In fact, a small sample of variables can be sufficient to diagnose potential failure risks without the need to obtain information on financial data in relevance to the firm (Pindado and Rodrigues, 2004).…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Currently, many successful applications of single predictor based forecasting algorithms have been reported from various fields, for instance, in the fault diagnosis [25,26], transportation flow forecasting [27], time-series prediction [28], and so on. Based on this, a variety of methods has been put forward for goal state prediction, including the Kalman filtering (KF) model [29], nonparametric regression model [30], and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model [31]. Generally, these prediction methods can be categorized as statistical time series analysis methods, which conduct their predictions based on historical data analysis.…”
Section: Mathematical Problems In Engineeringmentioning
confidence: 99%