“…In each case, contact increases policy support. Contrary to what Allport may predict, however, Harrison and Michelson () find that the strategy of personalization can actually have negative consequences for advocacy efforts like volunteerism and fundraising.…”
Research on attitudes toward gay people and same-sex marriage finds that individuals who know a gay person in their immediate personal network are not only more likely to view gay people positively but also support samesex marriage. Here we examine whether this result extends to an individuals stance toward specific ballot measures regarding same-sex marriage across different social and political climates ranging from the conservative South to the liberal Pacific Northwest. Using survey data collected in three states that considered banning or approving same-sex marriage during the 2012 election cycle, we analyze the hypothesis that a personal relationship with a gay person affects an individuals vote choice on a ballot measure with actual policy consequences. In the end, we find mixed results across the three states. Our results suggest the importance of state-level variation in the social climate that may temper the effect of contact.
“…In each case, contact increases policy support. Contrary to what Allport may predict, however, Harrison and Michelson () find that the strategy of personalization can actually have negative consequences for advocacy efforts like volunteerism and fundraising.…”
Research on attitudes toward gay people and same-sex marriage finds that individuals who know a gay person in their immediate personal network are not only more likely to view gay people positively but also support samesex marriage. Here we examine whether this result extends to an individuals stance toward specific ballot measures regarding same-sex marriage across different social and political climates ranging from the conservative South to the liberal Pacific Northwest. Using survey data collected in three states that considered banning or approving same-sex marriage during the 2012 election cycle, we analyze the hypothesis that a personal relationship with a gay person affects an individuals vote choice on a ballot measure with actual policy consequences. In the end, we find mixed results across the three states. Our results suggest the importance of state-level variation in the social climate that may temper the effect of contact.
“…Simulations. We use the data from [8] to assess the operating characteristics of the upper bound estimators and associated Wald-type confidence intervals. These characteristics depend on the underlying joint distribution of potential outcomes, which cannot be directly observed and are instead hypothesized as part of these simulations.…”
Section: Confidence Intervals For τ N the Upper Bound Estimatorv Hmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Simulated variance estimator properties under varying treatment effect hypotheses for Harrison and Michelson[8], using 25 million simulated random assignments each…”
We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the
difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments.
Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a
well-known identification problem in causal inference posed by Neyman [Statist.
Sci. 5 (1990) 465-472. Reprint of the original 1923 paper]. A practical
implication of our results is that the upper bound estimator facilitates the
asymptotically narrowest conservative Wald-type confidence intervals, with
applications in randomized controlled and clinical trials.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-AOS1200 the Annals of
Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
“…We add here an additional twist to that model, suggesting that source credibility also varies according to activated shared identity. Thus, a messenger seeking to persuade a targeted individual to make a donation in support of a LGBT rights organization or to voice support for same‐sex marriage will seem more credible if the targeted individual is induced to think of the messenger as sharing an in‐group identity (Harrison and Michelson, ).…”
Section: Identity Priming and In‐group Identitymentioning
Objective. We hypothesize that priming a shared in-group identity can lead to openness to attitudinal change, even on highly polarized issues. Specifically, we test whether priming a shared identity as a religious person can generate willingness to voice support for same-sex marriage. Methods. We conduct a randomized survey experiment using the SocialSci platform, exposing religious and secular respondents to religious and anonymous primes about same-sex marriage. Results. Individuals who are religious and who are exposed to the treatment prime are more likely to say that they support marriage equality and would vote for a ballot initiative in their state that would allow same-sex marriage. Conclusion. Despite widespread opposition to marriage equality among people of faith, having that religious identity primed through an elite religious cue has a significant and often dramatic effect on attitudes toward marriage equality.
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