Nutritional inequalities among under-5 children: An analysis of cross-country and within-country hotspots and cold spots in the developing world

Abstract

Undernutrition of under-five children is a severe public health issue of the developing world. Around 45% of deaths among children under five years are linked to undernutrition. According to 2019 global estimates, 21% of under-five children were stunted, 7% were wasted, and 13% were underweight in 2019. However, there are wide disparities in the distribution of undernutrition within countries and across countries. As an illustration, 38% of under-five children in Pakistan are stunted. However, the stunting rate in Islamabad Capital Territory is 24% but 52% in FATA, according to Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data. Such disparities in undernutrition may reflect policy failures or the genetic vulnerabilities of population subgroups. To the best of our knowledge, very few studies have analyzed the geography of the undernutrition inequalities among under-five children. We analyzed the geographical patterns in child undernutrition in developing countries. First, we mapped the prevalence of undernutrition in the developing world. Secondly, using the LISA (local indicator of spatial association) technique, we analyzed the geographical patterns in the distribution of undernutrition to highlight the localized hotspots (regions with high undernutrition prevalence surrounded by similar other regions), cold spots (regions with low undernutrition prevalence surrounded by similar other regions), and outliers (regions with high undernutrition surrounded by low undernutrition and vice versa showing inequalities in the distribution in undernutrition). Additionally, we used Moran’s I to find global patterns in malnutrition.We used data from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data from 73 developing countries for our study.The Global Moran’s I and LISA techniques used to estimate the global and within-country malnutrition patterns, respectively, confirm significant spatial clustering of malnutrition among under-five children. South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are global hotspots of child malnutrition, and Latin America and the Caribbean, and Europe and Central Asia are global cold spots of child malnutrition. There are few outliers: areas of low child malnutrition surrounded by high malnutrition and vice versa. One important policy implication of this study is that it will help identify the areas with i) high undernutrition and ii) high nutritional inequalities and help targeted health interventions in the geographical areas with a high need population.