Observed climate-induced changes in plant phenology in the Netherlands

Vliet, Arnold J. H. van; Bron, Wichertje A.; Mulder, S.; Slikke, W. van der; Odé, Baudewijn

doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0493-8

Cited by 17 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…Thus, bio-monitoring of climate change using plant phenology as an indicator should further be refined [38]. We did not consider the potential impact of the geographic distribution of the phenological observations across Hesse, assuming that the observations were randomly distributed [39]. This assumption could be proved in a succeeding study.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In terms of agricultural management, the selection of crops and cultivars must be adjusted to the changed climatic conditions. Furthermore, farmers should cope with increased problems with insect pests potentially occurring due to increased air temperatures [39,48]. Another threat is the increasing risk of frost damage due to the earlier occurrence of phenological events [49].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Modelling and mapping of plant phenological stages as bio-meteorological indicators for climate change

2014

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. These shifts were stronger in Hesse (8 days) than in Germany (6 days). As winter phases tend to shift towards the end of the year, a prolongation of the vegetation period of up to 3 weeks was observed. More than 70% of the phases were correlated with air temperature by r ≥ 0.5, more than 50% even by r ≥ 0.7. Since the 1990s, phenological shifts and regional differences in phase onsets amplified. In many cases, the shifts between 2071 to 2100 and 1961 to 1990 are expected to be at least twice as high as those between 1991 to 2009 and 1961 to 1990. Conclusions: The presented approach allows revealing statistical relationships between air temperatures and phenological onsets. Thus, shifts in plant phenology are an appropriate bioindicator to map early signs of ecosystem transitions under climate change. The phenological records allow estimating future trends of plant phenological development. Using phenological maps as presented in this article, efficient adaption strategies may be planned and implemented in terms of, e.g. adjusting delineation, shape and allocation of protected areas.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling and mapping of plant phenological stages as bio-meteorological indicators for climate change

2014

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“…Ecological data acquisition is included as it has been clearly acknowledged that ecosystems are being threatened around the world by climate change, as well as other factors, such as illegal wildlife trade, habitat loss, and human‐wildlife conflicts (Can et al, ; Donnelly et al, ). Therefore, it is of great importance to have sufficient high quality data for a range of ecosystems, aimed at building solid and fundamental knowledge on their underlying processes, as well as enabling biodiversity observation, phenological monitoring, natural resource management, and environmental conservation (Groom et al, ; Mckinley et al, ; van Vliet et al, ).…”

Section: Review Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

Crowdsourcing Methods for Data Collection in Geophysics: State of the Art, Issues, and Future Directions

Zheng

Tao

Maier

et al. 2018

Reviews of Geophysics

114

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Data are essential in all areas of geophysics. They are used to better understand and manage systems, either directly or via models. Given the complexity and spatiotemporal variability of geophysical systems (e.g., precipitation), a lack of sufficient data is a perennial problem, which is exacerbated by various drivers, such as climate change and urbanization. In recent years, crowdsourcing has become increasingly prominent as a means of supplementing data obtained from more traditional sources, particularly due to its relatively low implementation cost and ability to increase the spatial and/or temporal resolution of data significantly. Given the proliferation of different crowdsourcing methods in geophysics and the promise they have shown, it is timely to assess the state of the art in this field, to identify potential issues and map out a way forward. In this paper, crowdsourcing‐based data acquisition methods that have been used in seven domains of geophysics, including weather, precipitation, air pollution, geography, ecology, surface water, and natural hazard management, are discussed based on a review of 162 papers. In addition, a novel framework for categorizing these methods is introduced and applied to the methods used in the seven domains of geophysics considered in this review. This paper also features a review of 93 papers dealing with issues that are common to data acquisition methods in different domains of geophysics, including the management of crowdsourcing projects, data quality, data processing, and data privacy. In each of these areas, the current status is discussed and challenges and future directions are outlined.

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“…Phenological changes that can be attributed to climate change include leaf unfolding, flowering and leaf colouring as well as the arrival dates of migrant birds, dates of egg laying of birds or the timing of the first appearance of butterflies (Parmesan and Yohe 2003;Parmesan 2006). An analysis of observational data from the International Phenological Gardens in Europe for the 1959-1996 period (Menzel and Fabian 1999;Menzel 2000) van Vliet et al (2014) in the Netherlands. Using data from the Dutch phenological observation network they found that significant changes in life cycle events started only in the early 1990s.…”

Section: Changes In Phenologymentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental Impacts—Terrestrial Ecosystems

Hölzel

Hickler

Kutzbach

et al. 2016

North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment

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The chapter starts with a discussion of general patterns and processes in terrestrial ecosystems, including the impacts of climate change in relation to productivity, phenology, trophic matches and mismatches, range shifts and biodiversity. Climate impacts on specific ecosystem types-forests, grasslands, heathlands, and mires and peatlands-are then discussed in detail. The chapter concludes by discussing links between changes in inland ecosystems and the wider North Sea system. Future climate change is likely to increase net primary productivity in the North Sea region due to warmer conditions and longer growing seasons, at least if summer precipitation does not decrease as strongly as projected in some of the more extreme climate scenarios. The effects of total carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems are highly uncertain, due to the inherent complexity of the processes involved. For moderate climate change, land use effects are often more important drivers of total ecosystem carbon accumulation than climate change. Across a wide range of organism groups, range expansions to higher latitudes and altitudes and changes in phenology have occurred in response to recent climate change. For the range expansions, some studies suggest substantial differences between organism groups. Habitat specialists with restricted ranges have generally responded very little or even shown range contractions. Many of already threatened species could be particularly vulnerable to climate change. Overall, effects of recent climate change on terrestrial ecosystems within the North Sea region are still limited.

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Observed climate-induced changes in plant phenology in the Netherlands

Cited by 17 publications

References 18 publications

Modelling and mapping of plant phenological stages as bio-meteorological indicators for climate change

Modelling and mapping of plant phenological stages as bio-meteorological indicators for climate change

Crowdsourcing Methods for Data Collection in Geophysics: State of the Art, Issues, and Future Directions

Environmental Impacts—Terrestrial Ecosystems

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