Ocean fronts drive marine fishery production and biogeochemical cycling

Abstract

Long-term changes in nutrient supply and primary production reportedly foreshadow substantial declines in global marine fishery production. These declines combined with current overfishing, habitat degradation, and pollution paint a grim picture for the future of marine fisheries and ecosystems. However, current models forecasting such declines do not account for the effects of ocean fronts as biogeochemical hotspots. Here we apply a fundamental technique from fluid dynamics to an ecosystem model to show how fronts increase total ecosystem biomass, explain fishery production, cause regime shifts, and contribute significantly to global biogeochemical budgets by channeling nutrients through alternate trophic pathways. We then illustrate how ocean fronts affect fishery abundance and yield, using long-term records of anchovy-sardine regimes and salmon abundances in the California Current. These results elucidate the fundamental importance of biophysical coupling as a driver of bottom-up vs. top-down regulation and high productivity in marine ecosystems.fronts | aggregation | trophic interactions | Reynolds decomposition G lobally, marine primary production is considered to set the limits of fishery production (1), drive ecosystem functioning (2), and contribute substantially to biogeochemical cycles (3). Recent evidence of increased ocean temperatures (4, 5) and declines in global nutrient supply and primary production (6), combined with overfishing and other increasing human demands on the ocean (7-9), therefore raises significant concerns about fishery sustainability, ecosystem health, and maintaining global biogeochemical cycles (10). However, the degree of patchiness, instead of total biomass, may be the primary regulator of marine production and food web structure (11-16). Fronts in the ocean are boundaries between distinct water masses with sharp gradients in temperature or salinity (density) that can increase patchiness through flow convergence and, for density fronts, increase vertical mixing and nutrient supply (11,17). Due to flow convergence at fronts, the spatiotemporal overlap of prey and predators can be immense, leading to a cascade of impacts across multiple scales from local prey size structure to global biogeochemical fluxes (11-13). However, the effects of fronts as fishery productivity and biogeochemical cycling hotspots have not been included in models that assess fisheries production and ecosystem health (18) or addressed at scales (tens to hundreds of kilometers) relevant to climate change (19).Here we use an ecosystem model to explore why fronts appear to have a strong influence on marine fishery production and biogeochemical cycling. Existing ecosystem models currently account only for the mean concentration of predator and prey with relatively large grid cells (20). In a simple case of a single autotrophic prey (A) and a single heterotrophic predator (B) the governing equations are[1]These equations describe the change in biomass of predator and prey relative to nutrient supply (N), intrins...

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