2015
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2359201
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Old, Sick, Alone, and Poor: A Welfare Analysis of Old-Age Social Insurance Programs

Abstract: Poor heath, large acute and long-term care medical expenses and spousal death are significant drivers of impoverishment among retirees. We document these facts and build a rich overlapping generations model that reproduces them. We use the model to assess the incentive and welfare effects of U.S. Social Security and means-tested social insurance programs, such as Medicaid and food stamp programs, for the aged. We find that U.S. means-tested social insurance programs for retirees provide significant welfare ben… Show more

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Cited by 25 publications
(23 citation statements)
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References 41 publications
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“…Kopecky and Koreshkova (2014) find that old-age medical expenses and the coverage of these expenses provided by Medicaid have large effects on aggregate capital accumulation. Braun, Kopecky, and Koreshkova (2015) use a model with medical expense risk to assess the incentive and welfare effects of Social Security and means-tested social insurance programs like Medicaid. They too find that Medicaid provides the elderly with valuable insurance.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Kopecky and Koreshkova (2014) find that old-age medical expenses and the coverage of these expenses provided by Medicaid have large effects on aggregate capital accumulation. Braun, Kopecky, and Koreshkova (2015) use a model with medical expense risk to assess the incentive and welfare effects of Social Security and means-tested social insurance programs like Medicaid. They too find that Medicaid provides the elderly with valuable insurance.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.TOTL.ZS Component, private sector establishment data to compute this probability, p E (n). 4 The average probability that a rm oers insurance is 62%. The table also reports the administrative cost of providing health insurance.…”
Section: Us Health Insurance Factsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our model does not differentiate between males and females and thus requires a lower fertility rate to achieve a stable population. 6 To eliminate small oscillations in annual births, we fix the number of births in our benchmark projection at 328,600 from the year 2138 onward. With this assumption, the population and its age structure stabilize in the year 2246. likely, but simply to illustrate how rapidly the fertility rate would have to rise to prevent Japan from becoming a substantially older society than it is now and from remaining quite old well into the next century.…”
Section: Demographic Data and Projections For Japanmentioning
confidence: 99%