Direct payments have moved to the heart of the government's drive for increased user choice. At the same time, implementation has remained disappointing. This article explores the demand, supply and related factors associated with patterns of local variability in uptake and intensity of care package provision. Statistical analyses are conducted for key client groupspeople with physical disabilities, older people, people with learning disabilities and people who use mental health services -using data for England from 2000-01 to 2002-03. The results suggest that direct payments variability reflects a complex array of factors, both within and beyond the control of local public actors. In particular, while local policy preferences appear to shape the extent of direct payments growth, the results also demonstrate that understanding levels of activity requires attention to local circumstances.
IntroductionRecently reinforced by the energy behind the government's 'choice' campaign, the policy of direct payments (user-controlled purchasing of social care) has been catapulted high up the social care agenda. As policy makers have adjusted and broadened the ambit of the direct payments approach, policy commentators have widened their descriptions of its contours and potential implications.While researchers have begun to elaborate more sophisticated explanations for the overall trajectory of developments, research on local patterns has been relatively limited, despite considerable variations in the introduction, take-up and level of direct payments. One purpose of this article is to chart those variations. A second is to apply statistical modelling to try to explicate socio-economic, political and policy process factors associated with these variations in England.