On-line prediction remaining useful life for ball bearings via grey NARX

The choice of components in industrial design involves setting design parameters that typically must reside inside permissible ranges called “design margins”. This paper proposes a novel automated method called the Margin-Based General Regression Neural Network (MB-GRNN) that classifies design errors for design parameters that are outside of permissible ranges as outliers, directly from industrial design data, using an unsupervised machine learning approach. The method is based on a modified GRNN that estimates extremal margin boundaries of design parameters by self-learning the features from datasets. These extremal permissible margin boundaries are determined by “stretching out” the upper and lower GRNN surfaces using an iterative application of stretch factors (a second kernel weighting factor). The method creates a variable insensitive band surrounding the data cloud, interlinked with the normal regression function, providing upper and lower margin boundaries. These boundaries can then be used to determine outliers and to predict a range of permissible values of design parameters during design. Pushing out extremal margin boundaries reduce the false identification of outliers. This classification technique could be used by industrial engineers to detect likely outliers and to predict a range of permissible output limits for chosen design parameters. The efficacy of this method has been validated against the widespread Parzen window method by comparing experimental results from three multivariate datasets. It was found that the two methods have different but complementary capabilities. The MB-GRNN also uses a modified algorithm for estimating the smoothing parameter using a combination of clustering, k-nearest neighbor, and localized covariance matrix.

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A Comparative Study to Predict Bearing Degradation Using Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT), Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks (TGAN) and Machine Learning Models

Bhavsar

Vakharia

Chaudhari

et al. 2022

Machines

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Prognostics and health management (PHM) is a framework to identify damage prior to its occurrence which leads to the reduction of both maintenance costs and safety hazards. Based on the data collected in condition monitoring, the degradation of the part is predicted. Studies show that most failures are caused by faults in rolling element bearing, which highlights that a bearing is one of the most important mechanical components of any machine. Thus, it becomes important to monitor bearing degradation to make sure that it is utilized properly. Generally, machine learning (ML) or deep learning (DL) techniques are utilized to predict bearing degradation using a data-driven approach, where signals are captured from the machine. There should be a large amount of data to apply either ML or DL techniques, but it is difficult to collect that amount of data directly from any machine. In this study, health assessment is carried out using the correlation coefficient to divide the bearing life into two degradation stages. The raw signal is processed using discrete wavelet transform (DWT), where mutual information (MI) is used to rank and select the base wavelet, after which tabular generative adversarial networks (TGAN) are used to generate the artificial coefficients. Statistical features are calculated from the real data (DWT coefficients) and the artificial data (generated from TGAN). The constructed feature vector is then used as an input to train machine learning models, namely ensemble bagged tree (EBT) and Gaussian process regression with the squared exponential kernel function (SEGPR), to estimate bearing degradation conditions. Both the machine learning models were validated on the publicly available experimental data of FEMTO bearing. Obtained results showed that the developed EBT and SEGPR models accurately predicted the bearing degradation conditions with the average lowest RMSE value of 0.0045 and MAE value of 0.0037.

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On-line prediction remaining useful life for ball bearings via grey NARX

Cited by 3 publications

References 24 publications

Research on identification and active vibration control of cantilever structure based on NARX neural network

Research on identification and active vibration control of cantilever structure based on NARX neural network

Margin-based approach for outlier detection of industrial design data using a modified general regression neural network

A Comparative Study to Predict Bearing Degradation Using Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT), Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks (TGAN) and Machine Learning Models

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