1995
DOI: 10.1002/int.4550100403
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On the concept of immediate probabilities

Abstract: The problem of decision making under doubt is described. The concept of immediate probabilities is introduced. It is seen as a modification of typical probabilistic knowledge with information about the payoffs, mediated through dispositional information (optimism/pessimism), resulting in a modified formulation of an agents perception of the probabilities in effect in the current decision. We use the Dempster rule of combination to help obtain an expression for these probabilities. We show how immediate probabi… Show more

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Cited by 119 publications
(58 citation statements)
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“…Now, we can also develop the IPIVIFOWAD operator by applying IVIF information, individual distance, and immediate probability (IP) [43].…”
Section: Definitionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Now, we can also develop the IPIVIFOWAD operator by applying IVIF information, individual distance, and immediate probability (IP) [43].…”
Section: Definitionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first is the weighted-average method, which aggregates the information by using different importance degrees of the arguments [3,4]. The second is the probabilistic aggregation method, which unifies the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator and the corresponding probabilities by incorporating the importance degree of each case in the aggregation process [5,6]. The third is the deviation aggregation method, which minimizes the deviation between the aggregation result and evaluation information characterized by distance metrics or penalty functions [7,8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It aggregates the information by using probabilities in the analysis. It has also been applied in a lot of applications [8][9]26].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%