On the Development of Russia’s Information and Communication Technologies Ecosystem

Abstract

A quantitative model of Russia's information and communication technologies (ICT) ecosystem has been proposed that describes the main relationships between its participants, as well as the impact of environmental factors on the functioning of the ICT ecosystem. Based on the model, we have assessed the longterm (until 2030) potential for the development of Russia's ICT sector in the case of the state's active and stimulating strategy and the formation of an advanced system of institutions. We have also evaluated the contribution of the ICT sector to the macroeconomic dynamics while implementing the target scenario.

The Role of Digitalization in the Target Scenario of Russian Economic Development

“…This scenario assumes acceleration of technological development (globally and in Russia) and rapid expansion of ICT throughout the Russian economy and society. In terms of technological development in the field of ICT, Russia will approach the current level of developed countries 6 .…”

“…5). 6 In particular, by the end of the forecast period the ICT development index will be about 8.4. The ICT development index is a composite index that has been calculated since 2009 by the International Telecommunication Union and characterizes the availability and use of ICTs, as well as practical ICT skills of the population [7].…”

“…Its contribution to overall economic dynamics is assessed based on an improved 3 quantitative model of the ICT Ecosystem, developed in 2017, which incorporates the relationships between the main participants of the Ecosystem and the influence of external factors on its functioning. A detailed description of the Ecosystem model can be found in [ 5 , 6 ].…”

Macroeconomic Dynamics of the Total Factor Productivity of the Russian Economy

“…Наконец, остальные работы указанного списка [2-5; 7-10] являются попытками оценок совокупной производительности в России российскими авторами за различные периоды времени. Здесь особо отметим работу [5], где дается оценка производственной функции сектора ИКТ, который оказывает серьезное влияние на совокупную производительность.…”

“…Гуманитарный университет / Факультеты / Факультет бизнеса и управления / Страничка декана (2020) URL: https:// gu-ural.ru/faculties/business-and-management/stranichkadekana-publikatsii/ (дата обращения: 24.02.2020) 5. Мы сознательно не использовали более сложные функции (CES, транслог и др.…”