When do we agree? The answer might once have seemed simple and obvious; we agree that p when we each believe that p. But from a formal epistemological perspective, where degrees of belief are more fundamental than beliefs, this answer is unsatisfactory. On the one hand, there is reason to suppose that it is false; degrees of belief about p might differ when beliefs simpliciter on p do not. On the other hand, even if it is true, it is too vague; for what it is to believe simpliciter ought to be explained in terms of degrees of belief.This paper presents several possible notions of agreement, and corresponding notions of disagreement. It indicates how the findings are fruitful for the epistemology of disagreement, with special reference to the notion of epistemic peerhood. 2 Logical views can, but need not, involve degrees of belief. Fundamentally, they ground probabilities on logical relations between propositions. For more on this, see Rowbottom (2008) and Rowbottom (2015, pp. 24-26).WHAT IS (DIS)AGREEMENT? 223
Philosophy and Phenomenological ResearchThe reticence to use degrees of belief in broader contexts may also be partly explained by the ongoing controversy surrounding their nature. That is to say, there is a 'nature of degree of belief' debate that parallels the 'nature of belief' debate mentioned above. Are degrees of belief to be understood as mental representations, as dispositions to bet in particular ways, or as something else altogether? The lack of perceived progress in the debate is illustrated by the recent thesis of Eriksson and H ajek (2007), namely that 'degrees of belief' are basic and impervious to analysis.But let's take it as uncontroversial that epistemology has something to learn from formal epistemology (without presuming anything so rash as that the latter has any form of priority over the former, or that the converse is not true). And let us start with a rough and ready notion of a 'degree of belief' as a degree of confidence. A simple example captures the essence of the idea. I am more confident that I am writing a paper on agreement than I am that it will be published in a leading journal of philosophy. But I nevertheless believe each proposition to be true.Using degrees of confidence is sufficient to provide a coarse-grained map of the terrain, and indicate that much of the land is fertile. If this makes you feel uneasy, consider that informal epistemology normally proceeds without presuming an answer to, or even considering, 'What is belief?' This question is understood to fall within the philosophy of mind. Hence, it would be unwise to demand that the formal epistemologist begin with a complete answer to 'What is degree of belief?'So we have a plan. We will examine how we may construe agreement in terms of degrees of confidence. 3 But what is the point of the exercise? Intrinsic interest aside, understanding agreement is key to understanding disagreement. (Although, as we will see, disagreement should not be equated merely with the absence of agreement.) And the epistemology of d...