We estimate asset pricing models with multiple risks: long-run growth, long-run volatility, habit, and a residual. The Bayesian estimation accounts for the entire likelihood of consumption, dividends, and the pricedividend ratio. We find that the residual represents at least 80% of the variance of the price-dividend ratio. Moreover, the residual tracks most recognizable features of stock market history such as the 1990's boom and bust. Long run risks and habit contribute primarily in crises. The dominance of the residual comes from the low correlation between asset prices and consumption growth moments. We discuss theories which are consistent with our results. * We thank Francesco Bianchi, Ed Herbst, Francisco Palomino, and Missaka Warusawitharana for advice and comments, and Carter Bryson and Chris Campano for excellent research assistance. Our emails are andrew.y.chen, rebecca.d.wasyk, and fabian.winkler, all @frb.gov.The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve or the Federal Reserve System.