2022
DOI: 10.1214/21-aos2154
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Optimal difference-based variance estimators in time series: A general framework

Abstract: Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes nontrivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or suboptimally handle these nuisance structures. This paper develops a general framework for the estimation of the long-run variance for time series with nonconstant means. The building blocks are difference statistics. The proposed class of estimators is general enough to cover many existing estimators. … Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…The difference-based covariance estimators are good choices in the presence of change-points. The consistency could be reached under low-dimensional scenarios if the number of change-points is not too much and the change magnitudes are not too large (Rice, 1984;Chan, 2022). However, for asynchronous change pattern (1.1), where τ * j 's are not required to be the same, difference-based estimators may bring unnecessary bias accumulation, and thus may be not a good candidate, even under low-dimensional scenarios.…”
Section: Estimation Routines For the Covariance Matrixmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The difference-based covariance estimators are good choices in the presence of change-points. The consistency could be reached under low-dimensional scenarios if the number of change-points is not too much and the change magnitudes are not too large (Rice, 1984;Chan, 2022). However, for asynchronous change pattern (1.1), where τ * j 's are not required to be the same, difference-based estimators may bring unnecessary bias accumulation, and thus may be not a good candidate, even under low-dimensional scenarios.…”
Section: Estimation Routines For the Covariance Matrixmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We follow the suggestions discussed in Section 2.2 for choosing g1,,gq and q. This type of kernel estimators has been well studied in the literature; see, e.g., Newey and West (1987b), Blackman and Tukey (1958), Andrews (1991), Andrews and Monahan (1992), Politis, and Romano (1994), White (2000), Chan and Yau (2017), Chan (2022b), and Chan (2022c). A popular choice of K is the Bartlett kernel K(t)=(1|t|)1(|t|1).…”
Section: Inference In Coarsened Time Seriesmentioning
confidence: 99%