ORCID ID: 0000-0001-7610-7136 (T.N.B.).Robust models of stomatal conductance are greatly needed to predict plant-atmosphere interactions in a changing climate and to integrate new knowledge in physiology and ecological theory. Recent years have brought major advances in the experimental and theoretical understanding underpinning both processbased and optimality-based approaches to modeling stomatal function. I review these advances, highlight areas in need of more research, and argue that these modeling approaches are poised to supersede the long-dominant empirical approach.A reliable and general model for leaf stomatal conductance (g s ) has long been one of the holy grails of plant physiology. By controlling the exchange of water and carbon dioxide between plants and the atmosphere, stomata play a central role in the regulation of leaf and plant water status and transport, photosynthesis, drought sensitivity and tolerance, competition for soil resources, and even landscape and global hydrology (Hetherington and Woodward, 2003). An integrative formal theory-a mathematical model-that links stomatal function to plant traits and environmental variables would thus have incalculable value, both for making forward predictions and for drawing inferences about the physiology and ecology of observed stomatal behavior. My aim in this article is to summarize recent progress toward such models of stomatal conductance.Stomatal conductance has historically been predicted almost exclusively using empirical or phenomenological models, such as the widely used Jarvis and Ball-Berry families of models (Jarvis, 1976;Ball et al., 1987). Such models are perfectly adequate for forward prediction in situations where their parameters can be estimated with confidence, and indeed, these models continue to inform gas exchange projections across the modeling community (e.g. Oleson et al., 2008). However, the phenomenology of stomatal behavior in seed plants is by now very well established, so little further progress is likely in the area of empirical modeling, nor is it likely worth pursuing given that empirical models cannot provide insight about the underlying controls on gas exchange, but can only summarize and project what we already know about stomata. (Some aspects of the phenomenology of stomatal behavior in nonseed plants remain unresolved, such as the responses to CO 2 and abscisic acid [e.g. Brodribb and McAdam, 2011;Chater et al., 2011;Ruszala et al., 2011;Brodribb and McAdam, 2017]; empirical models have yet to be thoroughly validated for these taxa, so progress remains possible on that front.) This article will therefore focus on process-based ("mechanistic") and goaldirected ("optimality") approaches to predicting and interpreting stomatal function.In what follows, I will very briefly review the background to each of these approaches, describe important advances over the last decade or so, and then suggest directions for continuing work. I prefer to avoid reproducing equations and instead refer readers to articles cited here...