2018
DOI: 10.3846/20294913.2016.1216906
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Optimising the Smoothness and Accuracy of Moving Average for Stock Price Data

Abstract: Abstract. Smoothing time series allows removing noise. Moving averages are used in finance to smooth stock price series and forecast trend direction. We propose optimised custom moving average that is the most suitable for stock time series smoothing. Suitability criteria are defined by smoothness and accuracy. Previous research focused only on one of the two criteria in isolation. We define this as multi-criteria Pareto optimisation problem and compare the proposed method to the five most popular moving avera… Show more

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Cited by 36 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…The moving average is considered a type of real-time filter that removes high frequencies from data. In signal processing, MAs are therefore also called "low-pass filters" [19] where the calculated coefficients are equal to the reciprocal of the span or bandwidth. Moving averages are also known as "exponential smoothing".…”
Section: Moving Averagementioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The moving average is considered a type of real-time filter that removes high frequencies from data. In signal processing, MAs are therefore also called "low-pass filters" [19] where the calculated coefficients are equal to the reciprocal of the span or bandwidth. Moving averages are also known as "exponential smoothing".…”
Section: Moving Averagementioning
confidence: 99%
“…be the time series where p is the time series length. Therefore, the moving average of the period q at time can be calculated as per ( 10) [19]. In (10) and (11) show the final forecast formula using hybrid moving average and NARNN:…”
Section: Moving Averagementioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the same year, Raudys and Pabarškaitė [30] presented a moving average method used to prevent financial signal swing. The determination of the moving average that is appropriate for the financial signal increases the efficiency in the analysis of the stock market.…”
Section: Moving Average Filtermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Moving Average umumnya digunakan untuk meramalkan tren pada data finansial yang mempunyai noise. Penelitian [11] melakukan optimasi penghalusan (smoothing) Moving Average untuk meningkatkan akurasi analisa harga saham. Semakin besar periode window-nya ( ) akan semakin tinggi reduksi noise-nya dan semakin halus datanya.…”
Section: A Analisa Teknikal Pada Harga Sahamunclassified