Origins of an Urban Crisis: The
						Restructuring of the San Francisco Bay Area and the Geography of
						Foreclosure

Schafran, Alex

doi:10.4135/9781526402059.n9

Cited by 24 publications

(34 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…Bay Area's Inland Empire and to the dreams o f tens o f thousands o f families. California was the chief locus o f the housing bust, with one million foreclosed homes, six million underwater mortgages, and $3 trillion loss in home values, and the inland metros were tops nationally in foreclosure rates (30-50% ) and house price declines (40-50% ) (Bardhan and Walker, 2011;Schafran, 2013) (figure 6). The recession left the Golden State with over two million unemployed (12.4% in 2010), ten million in poverty (25% in 2012), and the largest state budget deficit.…”

Section: Busted Burbsmentioning

confidence: 97%

The Strange Case of the Bay Area

Walker

Schafran

2015

Environ Plan A

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The San Francisco Bay Area is hard to get one's head around and is frequently misunderstood. It is immense, decentered, sprawling, autotopic, multiracial, divided, and more-a crucible o f the modern suburban and exurban metropolis. It is distinctive in several regards, but illuminating o f the dynamics behind metropolitan geography. Indeed, the Bay Area has been integral to the production o f modern American suburbia and its urban system embodies many o f the contradictions o f the contemporary moment.

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Section: Busted Burbsmentioning

confidence: 97%

The Strange Case of the Bay Area

Walker

Schafran

2015

Environ Plan A

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“…Numerous studies have investigated the geography of foreclosure in different locales and at different scales (e.g. Perkins, 2008;Schafran, 2013;Yanmei, 2011). This work contributes to that tradition by examining the relationship between foreclosure and land cover change in Maricopa County, Arizona.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Detection of foreclosure-related landscape management changes using Landsat

et al. 2015

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a b s t r a c tThe volume of properties affected by foreclosure over the past decade suggests the potential for dramatic change in vegetation cover due to changes in management. Yet, the specific pathology of each foreclosure, the temporal asynchrony among foreclosures, and differences in the area available for vegetation growth across properties presents challenges to observing and measuring change. This paper develops and tests a difference in deviations approach that compares the parcel NDVI to a neighborhood norm before and after foreclosure. The difference in deviations approach addresses the challenges of separating parcel-level change corresponding to foreclosure and identifies changes on both small and large parcels. The method relies on a time series of Landsat Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data, individual home foreclosure records and property tax assessment data for Maricopa County, Arizona from 2002 to 2012. To establish the level of difference associated with observable landscape change, we use a probit regression model, coding Google Earth images for properties across the range of observed deviations of difference. The basic assumption underlying the approach is that if foreclosure coincides with a change in management, it will lead to changes in vegetation structure and thus, NDVI values. We estimate that 13% of home foreclosures in Maricopa County over the period from 2002 to 2012 resulted in declines in vegetation whereas 6.5% resulted in vegetation increases. Future uses of this method for understanding landscape management in residential landscapes are discussed.

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“…Furthermore, residents of established, wealthier suburbs, endorsing a strict no-growth stance, have repeatedly thwarted denser housing development near the region's major job centers. Consequently, new housing starts have shifted to the area's geographical fringe-including East Contra Costa (Schafran, 2013b). Indeed, since the passage of Prop 13, fledgling East County communities depended almost exclusively on massive housing development to shore up economic activity and local tax revenues (Kneebone & Berube, 2013;Schafran, 2012).…”

Section: Literature Review Contra Costa County and The Suburbanizatiomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…But perhaps the biggest factor underlying the increase in the county's poverty rate has been the county's heavy reliance on housing construction as a source of economic growth, and the regional socioeconomic inequities that have catalyzed it (Schafran, 2009(Schafran, , 2012(Schafran, , 2013a(Schafran, , 2013b. In the wake of Proposition 13 (a 1978 taxpayer revolt and state ballot initiative dramatically limiting property taxes), local Bay Area governments have increasingly based land-use decisions on the potential for generating tax revenues.…”

Section: Literature Review Contra Costa County and The Suburbanizatiomentioning

confidence: 99%