Purpose
To assess the incidence and predictors of post-suppression virologic rebound (VR) among adolescents on stable combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) in Asia.
Methods
Perinatally HIV-infected Asian adolescents (10-19 years) with documented virologic suppression [two consecutive viral loads (VL) <400 copies/ml >6 months apart] were included. Baseline was the date of the first VL <400 copies/ml at age >10 years, or the 10th birthday for those with prior suppression. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify predictors of post-suppression VR (VL >1000 copies/ml).
Results
Of 1379 eligible adolescents, 47% were males. At baseline, 22% were receiving protease inhibitor (PI)-containing regimens; median CD4 cell count (IQR) was 685 (448-937) cells/mm3; 2% had pre-adolescent virologic failure (VF) before subsequent suppression. During adolescence, 180 individuals (13%) experienced post-suppression VR at a rate of 3.4 (95%CI: 2.9-3.9) per 100 person-years, which was consistent over time. Median time to VR during adolescence (IQR) was 3.3 (2.1-4.8) years. Wasting (weight-for-age z-score <-2.5), being raised by grandparents, receiving second-line PI-based regimens, starting cART after 2005, and having pre-adolescent VF were independent predictors of adolescent VR. At VR, median age, CD4 cell count, and VL (IQR) were 14.8 (13.2-16.4) years, 507 (325-723) cells/mm3, and 4.1 (3.5-4.7) log10 copies/ml, respectively.
Conclusions
A modest and consistent incidence of post-suppression VR was documented during adolescence in our cohort. Having poor weight, receiving second-line regimens, and prior VF were associated with an increased VR rate. Adolescents at higher risk of VR may benefit from more intensive VL monitoring to enhance adherence management.