BACKGROUND: Noting the outcomes of delirium reveals the importance of recognizing patients who are at the highest risk for delirium and developing prevention‐oriented systems of care. Outcomes found in prospective studies are falls,1 pressure ulcers,1 longer length of stay,1–5 long‐term cognitive deficits,2,6 and functional impairment.7–9 Many of these are used as indicators of quality geriatric care. The actual incidence rates of delirium depend on the characteristics of the cohort studied and whether it included all consecutive geriatric patients,1,10 emergency surgical patients,11–13 and elective surgery patients14–16 or specifically excluded patients with terminal illness2,7,17,18 or advanced dementia.4,16 Even for a given institution to determine its incidence rate is difficult. The frequency of use of the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, code for delirium at discharge is not an accurate measure because hospitals and physicians are not likely to use a code that does not add to hospital reimbursement under Medicare. Notably, there has never been a study of the cost of either the intensity of nursing care or additional diagnostic testing involved in the care of the delirious patient.
Successful prevention depends on our ability to accurately identify those specific patients at risk for delirium and measure the relative contribution of the individual risk factors. This literature review addresses two systematic reviews by Cole et al., one on risk factors for delirium and the other on the effectiveness of preventive strategies.
QUESTION: What are the risk factors for incident delirium in hospitalized geriatric patients?
DATA SOURCES: A Medline search was performed using the terms “delirium,”“risk factors,” and “aged” for studies published in either French or English from 1966 through 1995. Current Contents and the bibliographies were also searched for relevant articles.
STUDY SELECTION CRITERIA: One hundred one studies were identified in the search, of which 27 met the following inclusion criteria: prospective enrollment of patients age 50 and older, use of an accepted diagnostic criteria for delirium, and identification of at least one risk factor. No unpublished studies were included.
DATA EXTRACTION: Each article was scored with an instrument specifically developed to assess validity of a study of risk factors. The criteria used were (1) adequate description of patient characteristics and recruitment process, (2) description of selection process of cases and controls, (3) adequate measure of and adjustment for confounding variables, (4) use of a systematic measure of risk factors, (5) blinded assessment of risk factors, (6) use of an operational definition of delirium, (7) adequate sample size, and (8) report of a measure of association with confidence intervals (CI). The mean quality score of the 27 studies was 9.3 out of total possible score of 16.
A checklist was used to extract data from the articles. When original data were available in two or more studies, the unadjusted odds ra...