Aims
The purpose of this study was to determine prospectively whether p53
protein accumulation in biopsies of Barrett’s metaplasia (BM) is a
predictor of malignant progression, without relying on dysplasia
grading.
Methods and results
Sections of formalin fixed paraffin embedded tissue from the initial
biopsies of 275 patients with BM, who had no high grade dysplasia (HGD) or
esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), were stained for p53 by
immunohistochemistry. Mean follow up was 41 months. p53-positive biopsies
were divided into 4 groups: scattered positive cells, multifocal scattered
positive cells, aggregates of positive cells, and multifocal aggregates of
positive cells. Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test was used to
determine the rate of progression to high grade dysplasia (HGD)/esophageal
adenocarcinoma (EAC). Of the 275 patients, 227 had initial biopsies
completely negative for p53 and of these one (0.4%) progressed to
HGD/EAC; none of 24 (0%) patients with scattered positive cells and
none of 4 (0%) of patients with multifocal scattered positive cells
progressed. By contrast, 5 of 16 (31.25%) patients with aggregates
of positive cells and 3 of 4 (75%) of those with multifocal
aggregates of positive cells progressed to HGD/EAC. Kaplan-Meier analysis
with log rank statistics showed the difference in progression rate between
the five groups to be highly significant (p<0.0001).
Conclusions
We conclude that p53 protein accumulation, detected by IHC in
aggregates of cells, is a significant predictor of malignant progression in
patients with BM.