“…Our finding that patterns of local host and parasite maladaptation were not influenced by the predation regime but were strongly influenced by the drainage source and therefore host (and perhaps parasite) lineage runs counter to the idea that natural selection owing to ecological differences leads to deterministic patterns of parallel (or convergent) evolution (Endler, 1986;Schluter, 2000), and to evidence from a number of guppy traits for deterministic responses to predation (Reznick and Endler, 1982;Reznick et al, 1990;Rodd and Reznick, 1991;Endler, 1995, but see Torres-Dowdall et al, 2012. However, recent studies are increasingly emphasising the fact that evolution in similar environments is often not very similar (i.e., non-parallel or non-convergent) which suggests a considerable role for historical contingency (Kaeuffer et al, 2012;Fitzpatrick et al, 2013). Our study provides direct support for this contingency by showing that patterns of local host-parasite maladaptation are predictable by drainage source (and likely lineage) rather than the (otherwise) most important ecological context for guppies (predation regime).…”