As the foundation of the national economy, agriculture is a high-risk, weak industry. Affected by many factors, agricultural production is subject to catastrophe risks from time to time. Agricultural production is mainly faced with two major threats, natural disaster risk and market risk. As an effective risk management tool, the production and promotion of agricultural insurance have played an essential role in guaranteeing the development of the agricultural industry in some developed countries and major agricultural countries in the world. This article combines the Internet of Things and Markov model for agricultural insurance risk management. First, we combine the structure of the Internet of Things and select relevant statistical data. Then, we build a panel data system, starting from two perspectives in different regions and analyze agricultural insurance’s current development and characteristics at each stage. In addition, we use the Markov model to build a panel data model to explore the specific impact mechanisms deeply. We also study the effects of disaster risk levels in different regions on the development of agricultural insurance. After simulation verification, we believe that this model can effectively promote the balanced regional development of agricultural insurance.