Assessing susceptibility to mass movements such as shallow landslides and debris flows, is crucial due to the potential catastrophic consequences when these events reach populated areas. This research proposes an integrated assessment that utilizes three established methods from the literature to evaluate the susceptibility of mass movements. The study area comprises three watersheds selected to be studied using a Digital Terrain Model (DTM), located in the Serra do Mar region in the municipality of Bertioga, State of São Paulo. By adopting this approach, the research aims to predict and map areas susceptible to these natural phenomena in watersheds with no historical record of such occurrences. To assess shallow landslide susceptibility, the Shallow Landsliding Stability Model (SHALSTAB) was employed, considering three different scenarios. The analysis revealed the significant influence of the hydrological parameter of hydraulic conductivity on the results. Furthermore, a morphometric analysis using the Melton Index and Basin Length parameters was utilized to evaluate the susceptibility to debris flows in the studied watersheds. The susceptibility assessment mapping method proposed by the GIDES Project, CPRM/2018 was employed to generate a susceptibility map displaying both critical and dispersion areas of debris flow.
It is essential to assess shallow landslide and debris flow occurrences in prone locations, such as the municipality of Bertioga, to contribute to the existing knowledge by providing updated susceptibility maps and support disaster prevention and territorial planning. The methodology presented here can support decision-making processes, enhance preparedness and response efforts, and contribute to overall improvements in prevention and mitigation of disasters in the Serra do Mar region.