Participatory fuzzy cognitive mapping analysis to evaluate the future of water in the Seyhan Basin

Cakmak, Erol H.; Dudu, Hasan; Eruygur, Ozan; Ger, Metin; Onurlu, Sema; Tonguc, Özlem

doi:10.2166/wcc.2013.029

Cited by 8 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…FCMs have been applied in previous water management studies to gain a shared understanding of the dynamics of their study object or to assess impacts of (few) management options [21,45,46], but it has, to our knowledge, not been combined before with a multi-criteria analysis. The combination of these methods, however, was a valuable step to evaluate the impacts of 102 options in total, taking into account the stakeholder preferences in the evaluation of the options.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Participatory Approach for Adapting River Basins to Climate Change

Verkerk

Sánchez

Libbrecht

et al. 2017

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate change is expected to reduce water availability in the Mediterranean region and water management needs to adapt to future conditions. The aims of this study were (1) to develop a participatory approach for identifying and evaluating management options for river basin climate adaptation and (2) to apply and evaluate the approach in four case-study river basins across the Mediterranean. As part of the approach, a diverse group of stakeholders joined a series of workshops and consultations in four river basins located in Cyprus, Slovenia, Spain and Tunisia. In each river basin, stakeholders expressed their views on challenges in their river basins, as well as options to tackle these challenges. We used the information on challenges, as well as the factors contributing to these challenges to develop a fuzzy cognitive map for each basin. These maps were converted into mathematical models and were used to assess the impact of a total of 102 suggested management options for the four river basins. We linked the options and their estimated impacts with a multi-criteria analysis to identify the most preferred options. The approach was positively evaluated by the participating stakeholders and allowed the link of stakeholders' knowledge and perceptions about their river basin with their preferences for options to adapt the management of their river basins to future conditions.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Participatory Approach for Adapting River Basins to Climate Change

Verkerk

Sánchez

Libbrecht

et al. 2017

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…FCMs have been used in various fields. This has been illustrated in the modeling of simulated domains (Dickerson and Kosko, 1994); to analyze systems, detect their failures and analyze their effects (Peláez and Bowles, 1996); in the creation of ecological models based on the knowledge of people (Özesmi and Özesmi, 2004); in modeling complex systems (Stylios and Groumpos, 2004); for decision-making and environmental management (Papageorgiou and Kontogianni, 2012); for developing land cover scenarios in the Brazilian Amazon (Soler et.al., 2012); for evaluating the future of water in the Seyhan Basin (Cakmak et al, 2013); assessing impacts and community preparedness to cyclones (Singh and Chudasama, 2017); for modeling the problem of high energy consumption in the construction sector considering the context of climate change (Mpelogianni and Groumpos, 2018); modeling the behaviour of the immediate consequence of high intensity rainfall in Kampala, Uganda (Nair et al, 2019); for sustainable agriculture (Bahri et al, 2020); as well as in to analyse the causes and hazardous effects of Malathion (organophosphorus insecticide and pesticide) to the environmental components (air, water and soil) (Poomagal et al, 2021).…”

Section: Fuzzy Cognitive Maps In the Environmental And Climatological Areasmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fuzzy cognitive maps to explore the repercussions of less precipitation on the water supply service of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City

Fuentes

2021

ATM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Currently the drinking water supply service system of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City (ZMCM) faces serious problems in its operation, which generate highly negative impacts on the environmental, social and provider sectors of this system. Given the presence of climate change, we consider the possible scenario in which a decrease in average annual precipitation is generated in the area. To evaluate its impact on each of the sectors, the fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) associated with each of them was constructed. This framework allowed the study of a system that, in addition to being highly complex, the available information presented large ranges of uncertainty. Based on the resuls obtained, we present a mitigation measure for each sector, in order to provide efficient actions to decisions makers.

show abstract

“…Thus, all relations are best understood by those involved in decision making process (Belton & Stewart, 2002). Some authors have been used PSMs to support the decision making in water resources problems, such as: water basins (Cakmak, et al, 2013;Suriya & Mudgal, 2013); perceptions of water users (ElSawah et al, 2013); and water resource conflicts (Medeiros et al, 2017;Urtiga & Morais, 2015). "Combining PSMs and MCDA produces a richer view of the decision situation and provides a methodology which can better handle the various phases of decision-making [...]" (Marttunen et al, 2017, p. 1).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

A multi-criteria decision making approach to balance water supply-demand strategies in water supply systems

Cambrainha

Fontana

2018

Prod.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Since climate change cannot be controlled, water resources must to be managed in order to adapt the relationship between water supply and water demand to these changes (Poustie et al., 2015). In this sense, water management related just on operational routines, i.e., actions for water catchment and distribution without worrying about water availability in future, has become unacceptable (Wang et al., 2014). Thus, there are two generic strategies to water scarcity: (1) develop new sources of supply, and (2) demand management (Araral & Wang, 2013; Omar, 2013). Demand management refers to solutions to reduce the quantity of water needed for a specific activity. This strategy seeks the efficient of water use by users (i.e. society or economic sectors), reducing and reusing water resources where possible (Brooks, 2006). In this sense, two mechanisms for regulating demand for water are most common: price and non-price mechanisms. The first occurs often through increasing block tariff; and the last includes public education, community mobilization, supply restrictions, and use of technical and engineering solutions (Araral & Wang, 2013). On the other hand, supply management aims, mainly, to increase the water availability. For this, some action should be taken to improve the water supply system, such as: modernization of equipment, expansion of the structure for both water catchment and water distribution, changes in operational and routine procedures (Wang et al., 2014).

show abstract

Participatory fuzzy cognitive mapping analysis to evaluate the future of water in the Seyhan Basin

Cited by 8 publications

References 0 publications

A Participatory Approach for Adapting River Basins to Climate Change

A Participatory Approach for Adapting River Basins to Climate Change

Fuzzy cognitive maps to explore the repercussions of less precipitation on the water supply service of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City

A multi-criteria decision making approach to balance water supply-demand strategies in water supply systems

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About