Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil

Tam, Jamie; Jaffri, Mohammed A.; Mok, Yoonseo; Jeon, Jihyoun; Szklo, André Salem; Souza, Mírian Carvalho de; Holford, Theodore R.; Levy, David T.; Cao, Pianpian; Sánchez-Romero, Luz María; Meza, Rafael

doi:10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.002

Cited by 8 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…In Brazil, tobacco smoking prevalence decreased from 35% in 1989 to 13% in 2019 due to successful control policies including advertising bans, smoke-free laws, and increased taxes. 20 A decline in smoking prevalence in India has also been observed, which could be due to strong tobacco control regulations that have been put in place since the launch of the National Tobacco Control Plan in 2007–08; these regulations have focused on national public awareness campaigns, increased prominence of health warnings on packaging, and expanded cessation facilities, for both smoking and smokeless forms of tobacco. 21…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

International burden of cancer deaths and years of life lost from cancer attributable to four major risk factors: a population-based study in Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, the United Kingdom, and United States

Rumgay,

Cabasag,

Offman

et al. 2023

eClinicalMedicine

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

International burden of cancer deaths and years of life lost from cancer attributable to four major risk factors: a population-based study in Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, the United Kingdom, and United States

Rumgay,

Cabasag,

Offman

et al. 2023

eClinicalMedicine

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“…The Mexico initiation and cessation rates (by single age 0-65), gender and single year 2009-2049) were estimated using age-period cohort models and national survey data following the same approach as previous analyses for the US (48, 49). For initiation, we used data from Mexico’s national health surveys [National Survey on Drug Use and Health (ENA), National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT) and GATS) covering 1998-2016 and reporting data on age at initiation from ever smokers.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The potential impact of removing a ban on electronic nicotine delivery systems using the Mexico smoking and vaping model (SAVM)

Sánchez-Romero,

Li,

Zavala-Arciniega

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Objective To develop the Mexico Smoking and Vaping Model (Mexico SAVM) to estimate cigarette and electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) prevalence and the public health impact of legalizing ENDS use. Methods SAVM, a cohort-based discrete-time simulation model, compares two scenarios. The ENDS-Restricted Scenario estimates smoking prevalence and associated mortality outcomes under the current policy of an ENDS ban, using Mexico-specific population projections, death rates, life expectancy, and smoking and e-cigarette prevalence. The ENDS-Unrestricted Scenario projects smoking and vaping prevalence under a hypothetical scenario where ENDS use is allowed. The impact of legalizing ENDS use is estimated as the difference in smoking- and vaping-attributable deaths (SVADs) and life-years lost (LYLs) between the ENDS-Restricted and Unrestricted scenarios. Results Compared to a national ENDS ban, The Mexico SAVM projects that legalizing ENDS use could decrease smoking prevalence by 40.1% in males and 30.9% in females by 2049 compared to continuing the national ENDS ban. This reduction in prevalence would save 2.9 (2.5 males and 0.4 females) million life-years and avert almost 106 (91.0 males and 15.5 females) thousand deaths between 2025 and 2049. Public health gains decline by 43% to 59,748 SVADs averted when the switching rate is reduced by half and by 24.3% (92,806 SVADs averted) with a 25% ENDS risk level from that of cigarettes but increased by 24.3% (121,375 SVADs averted) with the 5% ENDS risk. Conclusions Mexico SAVM suggests that greater access to ENDS and a more permissive ENDS regulation, simultaneous with strong cigarette policies, would reduce smoking prevalence and decrease smoking-related mortality. The unanticipated effects of an ENDS ban merit closer scrutiny, with further consideration of how specific ENDS restrictions may maximize public health benefits.

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Using the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective

Tam

Levy

Feuer

et al. 2023

American Journal of Preventive Medicine

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Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil

Cited by 8 publications

References 42 publications

International burden of cancer deaths and years of life lost from cancer attributable to four major risk factors: a population-based study in Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, the United Kingdom, and United States

International burden of cancer deaths and years of life lost from cancer attributable to four major risk factors: a population-based study in Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, the United Kingdom, and United States

The potential impact of removing a ban on electronic nicotine delivery systems using the Mexico smoking and vaping model (SAVM)

Using the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective

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