Natural disasters can cause severe damage to infrastructure such as the road network.
Currently, a Pavement Management System (PMS) does not incorporate flooding in a LifeCycle Analysis (LCA). A few Road Deterioration (RD) models have addressed flooding, but they have limitations. As a result, there are not any comprehensive RD models that can incorporate flooding in pavement performances. In addition, no optimum life-cycle road maintenance strategy is available. No study investigated the pavement performances because of a loss in Modulus of Resilience (Mr) at granular and subgrade layers during extreme moisture intrusion. The derivation of pre-and post-flood road maintenance strategies and a flood risk assessment should also be incorporated in a PMS.As a case study, this research has considered the January 2011 flood of Queensland, Australia, and has used 34,000 km road database of the Queensland's main roads authority.The major objectives of this study are to derive: i) network and project level roughness and rutting-based RD models with flooding, ii) pavement performances due to Mr loss at granular and subgrade layers, iii) flood-resilient pavements, iv) optimum road maintenance strategies at without flood, pre-and post-flood scenarios, and v) pavements' flood risks. The current scope covered the pavements that are affected after a flood, but are not washed away completely and need rehabilitation for structural strengthening.This research has used a probabilistic approach for deriving the RD models, which are valid at both network and project levels. Moreover, the proposed RD models can estimate road deterioration after a flood at different probabilities of flooding.The actual roughness and rutting vs. time data are assessed for the representative road groups or site specific roads to get the transition probability matrices for with and without flooding conditions, which are used in a Monte Carlo simulation. The new RD models show significant pavement deterioration at different probabilities of flooding events. The results are found valid with actual data for about 2 to 3 years after the January 2011 flood. A t-test also supports this match. A pavement's performance due to Mr losses at granular layers is checked using the two renowned roughness models, which results are found close match with the actual after flood data and RD models.