2018
DOI: 10.1590/0101-7438.2018.038.01.0053
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Performance Comparison of Scenario-Generation Methods Applied to a Stochastic Optimization Asset-Liability Management Model

Abstract: In this paper, we provide an empirical discussion of the differences among some scenario tree-generation approaches for stochastic programming. We consider the classical Monte Carlo sampling and Moment matching methods. Moreover, we test the Resampled average approximation, which is an adaptation of Monte Carlo sampling and Monte Carlo with naive allocation strategy as the benchmark. We test the empirical effects of each approach on the stability of the problem objective function and initial portfolio allocati… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Oliveira et al [124] have used Multistage Stochastic Planning for ALM and presented two different approaches. In the following, this paper has evaluated the impact of these approaches on the goal function using classical Monte Carlo Sampling and Moment Matching methods.…”
Section: Kosmidou and Zopounidismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Oliveira et al [124] have used Multistage Stochastic Planning for ALM and presented two different approaches. In the following, this paper has evaluated the impact of these approaches on the goal function using classical Monte Carlo Sampling and Moment Matching methods.…”
Section: Kosmidou and Zopounidismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are several approaches to identify the scenarios, from an empirical approach based on the own level of expertise to the statistical methods, such as Monte Carlo sampling or First Two Moments sampling techniques [8]. Some research papers proposed the taxonomy of scenario development.…”
Section: Motivation For the Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In a first stage, strategic allocation can be made in the different asset and risk classes allowed by the rules and policies of these institutions. For example, active and passive management techniques can be adopted, such as asset liability management (ALM) and liability driven investment (LDI) (Bogentoft et al, 2001;Hibiki, 2006;Mitra & Medova, 2010;Oliveira et al, 2017Oliveira et al, , 2018. After this strategic directioning regarding allocation into different asset types, it is necessary to specify the specific assets for allocating resources from among the infinity of alternatives in the fixed income and stock markets available in the financial market.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Active and passive management strategies, such as ALM, LDI, or goal-based investment (GBI), which aim to increase the probability of achieving goals (Nevins, 2004), guide pension fund managers regarding the classes and characteristics of the assets that should compose their portfolios and regarding the liquidity needed in each period, as well as the approach toward the risk of not achieving the defined goal, also considering the profile and characteristics of the clients (Mitra & Medova, 2010;Oliveira et al, 2017Oliveira et al, , 2018. However, they do not specify in which specific assets to allocate resources from among those available in the financial market, summarizing in a few assets the infinity of financial instruments, such as the studies of Correia et al (2018), Saad andRibeiro (2004), andSilva et al (2015), which perform the optimization of Brazilian pension fund portfolios by applying ALM, considering asset classes, primarily fixed income in the first two, including fixed income and stock (Correia et al, 2018) and with the addition of structured assets, foreign assets, real estate, and operations with participants (Silva et al, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%