Performance comparison of stress hyperglycemia ratio for predicting fatal outcomes in patients with thrombolyzed acute ischemic stroke

Abstract

Background The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), a newly developed metric, is used to assess adverse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, the relationship between SHR and fatal outcomes (in-hospital mortality [IHM], malignant cerebral edema [MCE], symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage [sICH], 3-month mortality, and poor functional outcome) in AIS patients receiving recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) treatment is unclear, and determining the optimal threshold remains incomplete. Materials and methods We retrospectively enrolled a total of 345 AIS patients treated with rt-PA during 2015–2022 and collected data on various glucose metrics, including different types of SHR, glycemic gap (GG), random plasma glucose (RPG), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). SHR and GG were calculated using these equations: SHR1, [FPG]/[HbA1c]; SHR2, [admission RPG]/[HbA1c]; SHR3, FPG/[(1.59 × HbA1c)−2.59]; SHR4, [admission RPG]/[(1.59 × HbA1c)−2.59]; GG, admission RPG − [(1.59 × HbA1c)−2.59]. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis (MVLR) to identify the association between different glucose metrics and outcomes while comparing their predictive values. Results SHR1 had the greatest predictive power and a more significant correlation with fatal outcomes than other continuous glucose metrics. The area under the curve of the SHR1 for IHM, MCE, and sICH, 3-month mortality, and poor functional outcome were 0.75, 0.77, 0.77, 0.76, and 0.73, respectively. SHR1 (per 1-point increases) was independently associated with IHM (Odds ratios [ORs] = 5.80; 95% CI [1.96, 17.17]; p = 0.001), MCE (ORs = 4.73; 95% CI [1.71, 13.04]; p = 0.003), sICH (ORs = 4.68, 95% CI [1.48–14.82]; p = 0.009), 3-month mortality (ORs = 10.87; 95% CI [3.56, 33.21]; p<0.001), and 3-month poor functional outcome (ORs = 8.05; 95% CI [2.77, 23.39]; p<0.001) after adjustment in MVLR. In subgroup analysis, elevated SHR1 was associated with fatal outcomes in patients with non-diabetes, SBP≥ 180 mmHg, and NIHSS <16. Conclusion SHR1 demonstrates an independent association with fatal outcomes in AIS patients treated with rt-PA, exhibiting superior predictive ability over other glucose metrics.