2014
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2446
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Permafrost collapse after shrub removal shifts tundra ecosystem to a methane source

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Cited by 164 publications
(214 citation statements)
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References 28 publications
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“…et al, 2014). This result, however, contrasts with the active layer thickening generally observed in response to climate warming (Tarnocai et al, 2004;Woo et al, 2007;Akerman and Johansson 2008;Smith et al, 2009;Nauta et al, 2015), and this is likely due in part to ground surface subsidence and drainage which follows ice-rich permafrost thawing (Shiklomanov et al, 2013) and in part to snow accumulation patterns . Within 5 years of drainage, thaw-front depth in disturbed polygons decreased by 37 % compared to that in wet polygons.…”
Section: Transient Environmental Conditionscontrasting
confidence: 53%
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“…et al, 2014). This result, however, contrasts with the active layer thickening generally observed in response to climate warming (Tarnocai et al, 2004;Woo et al, 2007;Akerman and Johansson 2008;Smith et al, 2009;Nauta et al, 2015), and this is likely due in part to ground surface subsidence and drainage which follows ice-rich permafrost thawing (Shiklomanov et al, 2013) and in part to snow accumulation patterns . Within 5 years of drainage, thaw-front depth in disturbed polygons decreased by 37 % compared to that in wet polygons.…”
Section: Transient Environmental Conditionscontrasting
confidence: 53%
“…In wet polygonal tundra of Northern Siberia, Kutzbach et al (2004) found for instance that dense Carex aquatilis stands emitted more methane than sites with low Carex densities. Overall, wetland and lake expansion are thought to increase methane emission but also carbon storage (Myers-Smith, 2005;Nauta et al, 2015;Treat et al, 2015;Bouchard et al, 2015). We can therefore expect that the reverse transition from wet to mesic environments observed within our low-centered polygon landscape would lead to reduced methane emission and increased CO 2 emission through enhanced decomposition.…”
Section: Impacts On Ecosystemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…21946 in Chokurdakh), 30 km south of the study site (http://climexp.knmi.nl/). The mean annual temperature at Chokurdakh is -13.4°C, and the mean annual precipitation is 196 mm (Nauta et al 2015). The mean July temperature of the same period is 10.3°C.…”
Section: Site Description and Climate Datamentioning
confidence: 90%
“…Support for no shrub expansion comes from satellite NDVI records showing no greening trend for the study region over (Blok et al 2015. Local permafrost degradation resulting in thaw pond development and drowning of shrubs could have prevented net shrub expansion (Nauta et al 2015). The negative precipitation trend is not unique to the study area, but also occurred in some other locations, particularly in the High Arctic (Urban et al 2014).…”
Section: Discussion Climatic Change and Ramet Establishmentmentioning
confidence: 99%