2018
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3258950
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Permanent versus Transitory Income Shocks over the Business Cycle

Abstract: This paper investigates the role of subjective income expectations in shaping consumption dynamics of European economies in the last decade. We make two main contributions. We first exploit the joint availability of income expectations and realizations in a unique micro panel-dataset to identify the levels of transitory and permanent income shocks at the individual level. We then evaluate whether these calculated income shocks can help to explain contractions in aggregate consumption over the two most recent c… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(3 citation statements)
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References 12 publications
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“…The magnitude of the coefficients may depend on the fact that income shocks experienced shortly after the crisis are perceived as long‐lasting, even more for younger generations. This is in line with findings by Kovacs, Rondinelli and Trucchi (2019), who show that income shocks were largely perceived to be permanent during the 2011–13 Sovereign Debt Crisis.…”
Section: Robustness Checkssupporting
confidence: 92%
“…The magnitude of the coefficients may depend on the fact that income shocks experienced shortly after the crisis are perceived as long‐lasting, even more for younger generations. This is in line with findings by Kovacs, Rondinelli and Trucchi (2019), who show that income shocks were largely perceived to be permanent during the 2011–13 Sovereign Debt Crisis.…”
Section: Robustness Checkssupporting
confidence: 92%
“…This is especially appealing if the impact of income inequality on volunteerism is non-contemporaneous but instead takes time to manifest. Borrowing from the macroeconomic literature, we might interpret an individual's perception of regional income inequality through different combinations of subjective expectations and realizations [Pistaferri (2001), Kovacs et al (2019)]. Specifically, permanent shocks would be attributed to changes in expectations and transitory shocks to differences between realizations and expectations.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The basis of this study is built around a complex network of ideas, models, concepts, and empirical research findings. Prominent among these are economic theories, including the life-cycle hypothesis, permanent income hypothesis, and relative income hypothesis (Kim, 2017;Kovacs et al, 2018). These ideas are based on the microeconomic theory of consumer choice and serve as a theoretical foundation for comprehending how individuals allocate and utilize their financial resources throughout their lifespans.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%