Pessimistic Rumination Predicts Defeat of Presidential Candidates, 1900 to 1984

Zullow, Harold M.; Seligman, Martin E. P.

doi:10.1207/s15327965pli0101_13

Cited by 62 publications

(45 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Moreover, these factual clues can be complemented by careful content analyses of campaign speeches. Several studies have shown that addresses, letters, diplomatic communiques, press interviews, and debate transcripts can revel important aspects of a politician's cognitive style and motivational disposition (e.g., Gottschalk, Uliana, & Gilbert, 1988; Hermann, 1980; Tetlock, 1983;Winter, 1982Winter, , 1987Zullow & Seligman, 1990). These personality factors often have grave consequences for an incumbent's policy and performance activities.…”

Section: An Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Putting the Best Leaders in the White House: Personality, Policy, and Performance

Simonton¹

1993

Political Psychology

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Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. This paper discusses what political psychology might have to offer in making it more likely that the best leaders might become Presidents of the United States. An analyticalframework outlines some of the more likely contributions of the political psychologist to the electoral process. This framework defines how the leader's personality, likely policy preferences, and political performance may be objectively inferredfrom the available biographical and content analytical data. After reviewing examples of relevant empirical research, the paper closes with a discussion of the assets and liabilities of this analysis. International Society of Political

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Section: An Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Putting the Best Leaders in the White House: Personality, Policy, and Performance

Simonton¹

1993

Political Psychology

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“…Historiometric research within the domain of leadership has evidenced success for some time now (Ballard, 1983;Hermann, 1980;House, Spangler, & Woycke, 1991;Mumford, 2006;O'Connor, Mumford, Clifton, Gessner, & Connelly, 1995;Winter, 1993;Zullow & Seligman, 1990) allowing a wide range of research questions to be addressed. When designing a historical study, the sample and data source must be carefully considered to ensure a well-developed rigorous historiometric study.…”

Section: Criticism 13mentioning

confidence: 99%

Criticism and outstanding leadership: An evaluation of leader reactions and critical outcomes

Eubanks

Antes

Friedrich

et al. 2010

The Leadership Quarterly

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“…The event and the explanation must both be good or both be bad (not a bad event with a good explanation or vice versa), and a clear causal relationship must exist between the explanation and the event (not simply a sequence of events that describe without explaining and not just proof or justification of the event) (Peterson et al 1992;Schulman et al 1989;Seligman 1998;Zullow 1988;Zullow et al 1988). Raters score extractions for three characteristics: internality/externality, stability/instability, and globality/specificity.…”

Section: Explanatory Stylementioning

confidence: 99%

“…The score is the percentage of sentences in the text found to contain rumination (Zullow 1988(Zullow , 1995Zullow and Seligman 1990).…”

Section: Ruminationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Three prominent exceptions were reelections of Franklin Roosevelt and the investigators opined the cause was the environment of economic depression and global war (Zullow 1995). Candidates elected also were more positive in nomination acceptance speeches and when seeking reelection than in their inauguration speeches (Zullow 1995;Zullow and Seligman 1990). Saddam Hussein and George H. W. Bush were more positive before aggressive and risky behavior and less so before cautious and passive behavior (Satterfield and Seligman 1994).…”

Section: Explanatory Stylementioning

confidence: 99%

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Impact of Terrorism, Insurgency, and Other Human-caused Catastrophes on Pivotal National Leaders’ Vision Statements

Oliver

2007

J Adult Dev

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Vision statements articulated by seven pivotal national leaders before and after a catastrophe were examined for changes in moral reasoning stage, moral reasoning orientation, explanatory style, and rumination. Established two-stage structured content analysis methods were used and a perspective of shared leadership. Five leaders showed no significant change in moral reasoning stage but two showed a statistically significant reduction following overt attack on their homeland. After a catastrophe, six showed significant change in moral reasoning orientation, four showed less positive or negative explanatory style, and all seven showed high rumination. From an organizational systems perspective, an impact of human-caused catastrophe was adjustment of these four variables in pivotal national leaders' vision statements as if they are systems levers.

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Pessimistic Rumination Predicts Defeat of Presidential Candidates, 1900 to 1984

Cited by 62 publications

References 33 publications

Putting the Best Leaders in the White House: Personality, Policy, and Performance

Putting the Best Leaders in the White House: Personality, Policy, and Performance

Criticism and outstanding leadership: An evaluation of leader reactions and critical outcomes

Impact of Terrorism, Insurgency, and Other Human-caused Catastrophes on Pivotal National Leaders’ Vision Statements

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