Abstract. In the early 1990s, Church and Takacs pointed out that the specification of surface figure and finish of x-ray mirrors must be based on their performance in the beamline optical system. We demonstrate the limitations of specification, characterization, and performance evaluation based on conventional statistical approaches, including root-mean-square roughness and residual slope variation, evaluated over spatial frequency bandwidths that are system specific, and a more refined description of the surface morphology based on the power spectral density distribution. We show that these limitations are fatal, especially in the case of highly collimated coherent x-ray beams, like beams from x-ray free electron lasers (XFELs). The limitations arise due to the deterministic character of the surface profile data for a definite mirror, while the specific correlation properties of the surface are essential for the performance of the entire x-ray optical system. As a possible way to overcome the problem, we treat a method, suggested by Yashchuk and Yashchuk in 2012, based on an autoregressive moving average modeling of the slope measurements with a limited number of parameters. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated with an example specific to the x-ray optical systems under design at the European XFEL. © The Authors. Published by SPIE under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. Distribution or reproduction of this work in whole or in part requires full attribution of the original publication, including its DOI.