Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) comprises single-or double-stranded DNA that likely originates from cancer cells. The prognostic value of ctDNA detection in breast cancer patients is currently under debate. Here, we conducted the first comprehensive meta-analysis of the published literature on the prognostic relevance of ctDNA, in patients with early-and advanced-stage disease.The PubMed and Embase databases were searched for studies on ctDNA in breast cancer patients.The main outcomes analyzed were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in early-stage breast cancer patients as well as progression-free survival (PFS) and OS in metastatic breast cancer patients. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random and fixed-effects models. A total of 16 studies involving 2070 participants were identified as eligible for inclusion in our meta-analysis, and the results of the pooled analysis showed that the presence of ctDNA was significantly associated with poor OS (HR = 1.98; 95% CI: 1.38-2.83, P = 0.0002) and DFS/PFS (HR = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.35-2.60, P = 0.0002) in the total breast cancer population. Furthermore, subgroup analysis revealed that associations between the presence of ctDNA and the outcome endpoints (OS and PFS) were significant within the metastatic breast cancer patient group and in patients with TP53 or ESR1 mutations in ctDNA.The TP53 and ESR1 mutations in ctDNA are potential prognostic biomarkers and promising therapeutic targets for advanced breast cancer.www.impactjournals.com/oncotarget/