Monitoring lead in
drinking water is important for public health,
but seasonality in lead concentrations can bias monitoring programs
if it is not understood and accounted for. Here, we describe an apparent
seasonal pattern in lead release into orthophosphate-treated drinking
water, identified through point-of-use sampling at sites in Halifax,
Canada, with various sources of lead. Using a generalized additive
model, we extracted the seasonally varying components of time series
representing a suite of water quality parameters and we identified
aluminum as a correlate of lead. To investigate aluminum’s
role in lead release, we modeled the effect of variscite (AlPO
4
·2H
2
O) precipitation on lead solubility, and
we evaluated the effects of aluminum, temperature, and orthophosphate
concentration on lead release from new lead coupons. At environmentally
relevant aluminum and orthophosphate concentrations, variscite precipitation
increased predicted lead solubility by decreasing available orthophosphate.
Increasing the aluminum concentration from 20 to 500 μg L
–1
increased lead release from coupons by 41% and modified
the effect of orthophosphate, rendering it less effective. We attributed
this to a decrease in the concentration of soluble (<0.45 μm)
phosphorus with increasing aluminum and an accompanying increase in
particulate lead and phosphorus (>0.45 μm).