Woodland and forest ecosystems across western North America have experienced increased density and expansion since the early 1900s, including in the widely distributed piñonjuniper vegetation type of the U.S. Southwest. Fire suppression and grazing are often cited as the main drivers of these historic changes and have led to extensive tree-reduction treatments across the region. However, much of the scientific literature on piñon-juniper expansion dates back only to the early 1900s, which is generally a half a century after Euro-American settlement. This study uses General Land Office (GLO) surveys to establish piñon-juniper woodland extent in the late 19 th century at the incipient stages of Euro-American settlement in southeastern Colorado and compares this data with 2017 aerial imagery of woodland cover. We found substantial amounts of woodland contraction as well as expansion: approximately 61% of historically dense woodland is now savanna or open (treeless) whereas approximately 57% of historically open areas are now savannas or woodlands, although analyses at finer spatial scales suggest considerably more contraction relative to expansion. We assessed change in woodland cover and extent as a function of soil type, a dominant biophysical control, and found that the highest rates of expansion occurred upon shallow, rocky soil types with low soil available water capacity (AWC). These low soil AWC areas support little herbaceous vegetation and thus had less grazing pressure and were unlikely to carry frequent surface fires historically, suggesting iii that fire suppression and grazing were not the primary drivers of expansion. Meanwhile, the significant contractions in woodland extent occurred on deeper, upland soils with higher soil AWC, which support greater herbaceous cover and were likely where early settlement and treecutting was prevalent. Our results provide mixed support for the often widespread assumption of woodland expansion since Euro-American settlement and suggest that the expansion that has occurred in our study area is unlikely a result of past grazing or fire suppression. This paper uses important, underutilized sources of ecological data in order to more directly assess the earliest effects of Euro-American settlement on one of the U.S. Southwest's most prevalent and important vegetation types.