Planning Regional Water Resources System Using an Interval Fuzzy Bi-Level Programming Method

Liu, Ying; Huang, Guohe; Li, Y. P.; Yang, Zhifeng; Liu, Y.; Cheng, Guanhui

doi:10.3808/jei.201000177

Cited by 94 publications

(44 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…To compare the preference between two fuzzy events, the measures of possibility and necessity were introduced to reflect the preferred confidence degrees of decision makers (Dubois and Prade, 1988;Inuiguchi and Ramik, 2000;Zhang et al, 2009;Lv et al, 2010). Supposeã andb be non-interactive fuzzy numbers with continuous membership function.…”

Section: Fuzzy Random Variablementioning

confidence: 99%

Inexact Fuzzy Stochastic Chance Constraint Programming for Emergency Evacuation in Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant under Uncertainty

Huang¹,

Nie²,

Guo³

et al. 2017

J ENVIRON INFORM

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ABSTRACT. Nuclear power accidents are one of the most dangerous disasters posing a lethal threat to human health and have detrimental effects lasting for decades. Therefore, emergency evacuation is important to minimize injuries and prevent lethal consequences resulting from a nuclear power accident. An inexact fuzzy stochastic chance constrained programming (IFSCCP) method is developed to address various uncertainties in evacuation management problems. It integrates the interval-parameter programming (IPP) and fuzzy stochastic chance constrained programming (FSCCP) methods into a general framework, in which the IPP method addresses the uncertainties presented as intervals defined by crisp lower and upper bounds, and the FCCP treat the dual-uncertainties expressed as fuzzy random variables. The measures of possibility and necessity were employed to convert the fuzzy random variables into crisp values to reflect the decision maker's pessimistic and optimistic preferences. The IFSCCP model is applied to support nuclear emergency evacuation management in the Qinshan Nuclear Power Site, which is one of the largest nuclear plants in China. The results provide stable intervals for the objective function and decision variables with different fuzzy and probability confidence levels regarding the local residents' distribution. Nine scenarios are analyzed to reflect the impacts of the imprecision (fuzziness and randomness) associated with the size of the population in a plume emergency planning zone. The results are valuable for supporting local decision makers to generate effective emergency evacuation strategies.

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Section: Fuzzy Random Variablementioning

confidence: 99%

Inexact Fuzzy Stochastic Chance Constraint Programming for Emergency Evacuation in Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant under Uncertainty

Huang¹,

Nie²,

Guo³

et al. 2017

J ENVIRON INFORM

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show abstract

“…Over the past decades, a wide range of mathematical techniques have been developed to examine the temporal and spatial economic, environmental and ecological impacts of alternative pollution-control actions, and thus aid the planners or decision-makers in formulating and adopting cost-effective water-quality management plans and policies (Lung et al 1999;Bakar and Hossain 2010;Lv et al 2010). However, water-quality management requires not only the reinforcement of established principles and technologies but also their extension to much wider, higher and freer scope for the realization of sustainability (Huang and Xia 2001).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A recourse-based nonlinear programming model for stream water quality management

Huang

2011

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

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A recourse-based nonlinear programming (RBNP) method is developed for stream water quality management under uncertainty. It can not only reflect uncertainties expressed as interval values and probability distributions but also address nonlinearity in the objective function. A 0-1 piecewise linearization approach and an interactive algorithm are advanced for solving the RBNP model. The RBNP is applied to a case of planning stream water quality management. The RBNP modeling system can provide an effective linkage between environmental regulations and economic implications expressed as penalties or opportunity losses caused by improper policies. The solutions can be used for generating a variety of alternatives under different combinations of pre-regulated targets, which are also associated with different water-quality-violation risk levels and varied potential economic penalty or loss values.

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“…Climate change has led to frequent droughts, floods, water shortages and imbalances in water distribution, as well as reduced biodiversity. In addition, ecological security is at risk, which posese major challenges to the sustainable development of the economy and society around the world (Huang et al, 2006;Li et al, 2008b;Qin et al, 2007;Lv et al, 2010). Adaptation to climate change has become an inevitable choice for the collective needs of society.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Information on Impacts of Climate Change and Adaptation in China

He¹

2017

J ENVIRON INFORM

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ABSTRACT. Climate change adaptation in China faces dual challenges: the development demand and its increasing pressure. In recent years, China has made great efforts in climate change impact assessment, adaptation policy-making, as well as technological research and development. The objective of this paper is to analyze and summarize the achievements and gaps of improving the adaptation strategies. A case study focusing on China is provided as a reference for other developing countries. In China, positive and negative impacts coexist, with the negatives outweighing the positives. Climate change affects mainly seven fields, including agriculture, water resources, coastal zone, ecosystem and biodiversity, urban development, major projects, and human health. A top-down policy system of climate change adaptation in China consists of 117 national and departmental policies, 31 provincial action plans and 21 provincial adaptation plans. There is an increasing number of climate change adaptation policies appearing in China. Identification, classification and key-chain analysis are performed over the adaptation policies, in order to build up the technology system that captures their structure and characteristics. Progress has been made in the development and application of the top 10 adaptation technologies, such as extreme weather event prediction and early warning technology, integrated adaptation technology for human health, as well as technology for the conservation and restoration of typical climate-sensitive ecosystems. However, gaps still exist in the mismatch between adaptation goals and resource management in terms of adaptation policy-making, adaptation mechanism of global changes, and strategic adaptation technology and top-level design.

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Planning Regional Water Resources System Using an Interval Fuzzy Bi-Level Programming Method

Cited by 94 publications

References 47 publications

Inexact Fuzzy Stochastic Chance Constraint Programming for Emergency Evacuation in Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant under Uncertainty

Inexact Fuzzy Stochastic Chance Constraint Programming for Emergency Evacuation in Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant under Uncertainty

A recourse-based nonlinear programming model for stream water quality management

Information on Impacts of Climate Change and Adaptation in China

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