Objective
Liver disease markers have been associated with mortality in HIV-infected individuals, in the modern era of effective antiretroviral therapy. Our objective was to determine which markers are most predictive of mortality in HIV-monoinfected and HIV/HCV-coinfected persons.
Research Design and Methods
We measured serum albumin, total protein, calculated globulin, aspartate transaminase (AST), and alanine transaminase (ALT) in 193 HIV/HCV-coinfected and 720 HIV-monoinfected persons in the study of Fat Redistribution and Metabolic Change in HIV Infection. We evaluated associations of each marker with five-year, all-cause mortality, adjusting for cardiovascular, HIV-related factors, inflammation, renal disease, muscle, and adiposity.
Results
After 5 years of follow-up, overall mortality was 21% in HIV/HCV-coinfected and 12% in HIV-monoinfected participants. After multivariable adjustment, lower albumin and higher AST were independently associated with increased mortality. Lower albumin was associated with 49% increased odds of mortality overall (per 0.5g/dL decrease, 95%CI:1.2–1.9); the association was stronger in HIV/HCV-coinfected (OR=2.1, 95%CI:1.4–3.2) versus HIV-monoinfected (OR=1.3, 95%CI:1.0–1.7; HCV-by-albumin interaction: p=0.038). Higher AST was associated with 41% increased odds of mortality (per AST doubling; 95%CI:1.1–1.8); associations were much stronger among HIV/HCV-coinfected (OR=2.5, 95%CI:1.5–4.1) than HIV-monoinfected (OR=1.1, 95%CI:0.8–1.5; HCV-by-AST interaction: p=0.0042).
Conclusions
Lower serum albumin and higher AST appear to be important mortality risk factors in HIV/HCV-coinfection, but much less so in HIV-monoinfected individuals. The association of low albumin with mortality may reflect its role as a negative acute phase response protein. AST levels do not appear to be useful in predicting mortality in HIV-monoinfection, and should be considered primarily in the context of HCV-coinfection.