Objective: To evaluate the impact and effectiveness of the 23‐valent polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine (23vPPV) in ≥ 65‐year‐old Australians in the context of concurrent 7‐valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (7vPCV) use in infants.
Design, patients and setting: Ecological analysis of trends in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) notification rates and vaccine effectiveness estimation using the screening method, using data on Australians aged ≥ 65 years (23vPPV funded) and 50–64 years (23vPPV not funded).
Intervention: National 23vPPV program for people aged ≥ 65 years and national 7vPCV program for infants, both commencing in 2005.
Main outcome measures: IPD incidence rate ratios, 2002–2004 to 2010–2011, and 23vPPV effectiveness against 23vPPV‐type IPD.
Results: The proportion of people aged ≥ 65 years who were vaccinated within the previous 5 years in jurisdictions excluding Victoria ranged from 41% to 64% over the study period, with no clear trend over time. Incidence rate ratios in the ≥ 65‐year age group were 0.11 (95% CI, 0.09–0.14) for 7vPCV serotypes, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.41–1.91) for 23vPPV–non‐7vPCV serotypes and 2.07 (95% CI, 1.67–2.57) for non‐23vPPV serotypes. The incidence rate ratio for total IPD was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.59–0.71) for people aged ≥ 65 years, and 0.80 (0.71–0.90) for people aged 50–64 years. The estimate of 23vPPV effectiveness was 61.1% (95% CI, 55.1%–66.9%).
Conclusions: The greater reduction in IPD among ≥ 65‐year‐olds compared with 50–64‐year‐olds did not reach statistical significance. However, vaccine effectiveness was significant. Greater reductions in IPD in ≥ 65‐year‐olds would be expected from the indirect effects of using 13‐valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in infants (introduced for Australian infants in 2011) and an increase in 23vPPV coverage.