Polarization in the South African labour market: Economy-wide scenarios

Abstract

This study has been prepared within the UNU-WIDER project Southern Africa-Towards Inclusive Economic Development (SA-TIED).

A 2019 Social Accounting Matrix for South Africa with occupational and capital stock detail

“…However, we argued that because of slow adoption of global technologies, past data would not provide a good guide to future trajectories. In Davies and van Seventer (2020b) we therefore used a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to explore possible consequences of new technology adoption. Our model had polarization built into its structure, but nonetheless allowed us to explore possible ameliorating factors and likely consequences.…”