2020
DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12467
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Policy, Demography, and Market Income Volatility: What Shaped Income Distribution and Inequality in Australia Between 2002 and 2016?

Abstract: Isolating the impact of policy, demographic shifts, and market volatility on changes in income inequality is of great interest to policymakers. However, such estimation can be difficult due to the complex interactions and evolutions in the social and economic environment. Through an extended decomposition framework, this paper estimates the effect of four main components (policy, demography, market income and other factors) on the year‐over‐year changes in income inequality in Australia between 2002 and 2016. … Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(17 citation statements)
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References 36 publications
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“…Confidence intervals are smallest for the tax-benefit transformations. This is commonly found in decomposition exercises with a deterministic tax-benefit model (Li et al 2020;Paulus and Tasseva 2017). In our case, the tax-benefit simulations mainly rely on a deterministic EUROMOD tax-benefit calculator and only partly on regression-based models (for partially and non-simulated variables required in each country model).…”
Section: Gini Coefficients Of Disposable and Market Incomes And The Nmentioning
confidence: 75%
“…Confidence intervals are smallest for the tax-benefit transformations. This is commonly found in decomposition exercises with a deterministic tax-benefit model (Li et al 2020;Paulus and Tasseva 2017). In our case, the tax-benefit simulations mainly rely on a deterministic EUROMOD tax-benefit calculator and only partly on regression-based models (for partially and non-simulated variables required in each country model).…”
Section: Gini Coefficients Of Disposable and Market Incomes And The Nmentioning
confidence: 75%
“…Compared with February 2020, when the Gini was around 0.33, the Gini was hovering around 0.31 in April, May and June. A drop of 0.02 Gini points in a few months is substantial given that the annual change in disposable income inequality measured by the Gini coefficient in Australia is usually smaller than 0.01 (Li et al, 2021 ). For example, to provide a comparison, the change in the Gini coefficient between 2007 and 2009 was less than 0.012 over the two years.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While existing research has documented a significant rise in income volatility for several countries since the 1970s (Dynan, Elmendorf et al 2012;Hardy and Ziliak 2014;Jansen 2004) there is not much evidence of year-to-year income volatility for Australia. Li, La et al (2020) explore the year-on-year changes in Australian income distribution over 15 years and identify fluctuations in market income (job losses and wage and non-wage cuts) to be the main driving change in income inequality.…”
Section: Why Was This Exploratory Project Conducted?mentioning
confidence: 99%